Election Crystal Balls: Are Presidential Polls Accurate?
By Frances Clinite, C2ST Intern, Loyola University
Did you receive a call or text about participating in a poll during this past election? Did you respond? Perhaps you were skeptical or felt they lacked validity. Recently, polling organizations have received criticism because presidential election predictions seem far from actual results. In the 2020 election, the polls reported the largest errors seen in 40 years, leading many people to distrust them. However, polling is deeply woven into the history of United States elections. Contrary to their use today, the first polls were never even intended to predict election outcomes.
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