 <ul class="fade-box"> 	
<li>

</li>
</ul>
<?xml version="1.0" encoding="UTF-8"?>
<rss version="2.0"
	xmlns:content="http://purl.org/rss/1.0/modules/content/"
	xmlns:wfw="http://wellformedweb.org/CommentAPI/"
	xmlns:dc="http://purl.org/dc/elements/1.1/"
	xmlns:atom="http://www.w3.org/2005/Atom"
	xmlns:sy="http://purl.org/rss/1.0/modules/syndication/"
	xmlns:slash="http://purl.org/rss/1.0/modules/slash/"
	>

<channel>
	<title>Chicago Council on Science and Technology &#187; Policy Perspectives</title>
	<atom:link href="http://c2st.org/category/policy-perspectives/feed" rel="self" type="application/rss+xml" />
	<link>http://c2st.org</link>
	<description>Chicago Council on Science and Technology</description>
	<lastBuildDate>Tue, 07 Feb 2012 21:48:17 +0000</lastBuildDate>
	<language>en</language>
	<sy:updatePeriod>hourly</sy:updatePeriod>
	<sy:updateFrequency>1</sy:updateFrequency>
	<generator>http://wordpress.org/?v=3.1</generator>
		<item>
		<title>Radiation: From A(toms) to S(ieverts)</title>
		<link>http://c2st.org/blog/radiation-from-atoms-to-sieverts</link>
		<comments>http://c2st.org/blog/radiation-from-atoms-to-sieverts#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 24 May 2011 22:35:58 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Matej</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Blog]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Policy Perspectives]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Science Education]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[nuclear]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Policy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[radiation]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[risk]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://c2st.org/?p=7401</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Radiation is essentially various shrapnel that is released when an atom or atoms undergoes decay, fusion or fission....]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a href="http://c2st.org/wp-content/uploads/2011/05/U92.jpg" rel="shadowbox[sbpost-7401];player=img;"><img class="alignnone size-full wp-image-7520" title="U92" src="http://c2st.org/wp-content/uploads/2011/05/U92.jpg" alt="" width="120" height="120" /></a></p>
<p><em>- by Matej Mavriček, Policy Fellow</em></address>
<p>Radiation is essentially various shrapnel that is released when an atom or atoms undergoes decay, fusion or fission. In this article, I will discuss the basics of radiation, types of danger of radiation, where it comes from, and a framework of risk with radiation. This is meant to inform some of the possible effects of radiation as a result of nuclear accidents or purposeful detonations.</p>
<p><em>For more on the topic of nuclear non-proliferation you are invited to attend<a href="http://c2st.org/programs-c%C2%B2st/nuclear-non-proliferation"> the talk by Ambassador Robert Gallucci, President of MacArthur Foundation, on May 25th at Hughes Auditorium, Northwestern University</a>.</em></p>
<p><em><strong>What is radiation?</strong></em></p>
<p>At the time of formation of the Milky Way and the Solar System, most if not all elements were radioactive. Radioactivity is essentially the potential of an atom to release radiation. If we thought of a radioactive atom as a light-bulb, then radiation is the emanating light. Radiation in general has a number of sources other than atoms, but most nuclear radiation is caused by either atom decay, atomic fusion or fission.</p>
<p><em><strong>Rays of All Kinds</strong></em></p>
<p>Radiation comes in a number of flavors and a number of different properties, but the most common from nuclear material are neutron, followed by alpha, beta and gamma rays. Despite conventional wisdom, nuclear material doesn&#8217;t normally glow. At specific conditions it can ionize the air which can emit low light. More commonly, it can ionize water which does glow. In room temperature, they can be largely inert. It is said that Luis Alvarez used to keep a flat disk of plutonium as a paperweight on his desk. It produced short-ranged alpha particles, which are stopped by even very thin materials, like paper or skin, so it was practically harmless.</p>
<table border="0" cellspacing="0" cellpadding="0" width="586">
<colgroup>
<col style="mso-width-source: userset; mso-width-alt: 4827; width: 99pt;" width="132"></col>
<col style="mso-width-source: userset; mso-width-alt: 9910; width: 203pt;" width="271"></col>
<col style="mso-width-source: userset; mso-width-alt: 6692; width: 137pt;" width="183"></col>
</colgroup>
<tbody>
<tr style="height: 15.0pt;" height="20">
<td class="xl66" style="height: 15.0pt; width: 99pt; font-size: 11.0pt; color: white; font-style: italic; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: none; text-underline-style: none; text-line-through: none; font-family: Calibri; border-top: .5pt solid windowtext; border-right: none; border-bottom: .5pt solid windowtext; border-left: .5pt solid #95B3D7; background: #4F81BD; mso-pattern: #4F81BD none;" width="132" height="20">Rays</td>
<td class="xl67" style="width: 203pt; font-size: 11.0pt; color: white; font-style: italic; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: none; text-underline-style: none; text-line-through: none; font-family: Calibri; border-top: .5pt solid windowtext; border-right: none; border-bottom: .5pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; background: #4F81BD; mso-pattern: #4F81BD none;" width="271">Composition</td>
<td class="xl67" style="width: 137pt; font-size: 11.0pt; color: white; font-style: italic; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: none; text-underline-style: none; text-line-through: none; font-family: Calibri; border-top: .5pt solid windowtext; border-right: .5pt solid #95B3D7; border-bottom: .5pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; background: #4F81BD; mso-pattern: #4F81BD none;" width="183">Effect</td>
</tr>
<tr style="height: 15.0pt;" height="20">
<td class="xl64" style="height: 15.0pt; border-top: .5pt solid windowtext; font-size: 11.0pt; color: black; font-weight: 400; text-decoration: none; text-underline-style: none; text-line-through: none; font-family: Calibri; border-right: none; border-bottom: .5pt solid windowtext; border-left: .5pt solid #95B3D7; background: #DCE6F1; mso-pattern: #DCE6F1 none;" height="20">Alpha</td>
<td class="xl65" style="border-top: .5pt solid windowtext; width: 203pt; font-size: 11.0pt; color: black; font-weight: 400; text-decoration: none; text-underline-style: none; text-line-through: none; font-family: Calibri; border-right: none; border-bottom: .5pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; background: #DCE6F1; mso-pattern: #DCE6F1 none;" width="271">2 protons, 2 neutrons</td>
<td class="xl65" style="border-top: .5pt solid windowtext; width: 137pt; font-size: 11.0pt; color: black; font-weight: 400; text-decoration: none; text-underline-style: none; text-line-through: none; font-family: Calibri; border-right: .5pt solid #95B3D7; border-bottom: .5pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; background: #DCE6F1; mso-pattern: #DCE6F1 none;" width="183">Stopped by   paper (skin)</td>
</tr>
<tr style="height: 30.0pt;" height="40">
<td class="xl64" style="height: 30.0pt; border-top: .5pt solid windowtext; font-size: 11.0pt; color: black; font-weight: 400; text-decoration: none; text-underline-style: none; text-line-through: none; font-family: Calibri; border-right: none; border-bottom: .5pt solid windowtext; border-left: .5pt solid #95B3D7;" height="40">Beta</td>
<td class="xl65" style="border-top: .5pt solid windowtext; width: 203pt; font-size: 11.0pt; color: black; font-weight: 400; text-decoration: none; text-underline-style: none; text-line-through: none; font-family: Calibri; border-right: none; border-bottom: .5pt solid windowtext; border-left: none;" width="271">energetic   electron (same energy as alpha)</td>
<td class="xl65" style="border-top: .5pt solid windowtext; width: 137pt; font-size: 11.0pt; color: black; font-weight: 400; text-decoration: none; text-underline-style: none; text-line-through: none; font-family: Calibri; border-right: .5pt solid #95B3D7; border-bottom: .5pt solid windowtext; border-left: none;" width="183">Numerous collisions, attach themselves to an atom</td>
</tr>
<tr style="height: 30.0pt;" height="40">
<td class="xl64" style="height: 30.0pt; border-top: .5pt solid windowtext; font-size: 11.0pt; color: black; font-weight: 400; text-decoration: none; text-underline-style: none; text-line-through: none; font-family: Calibri; border-right: none; border-bottom: .5pt solid windowtext; border-left: .5pt solid #95B3D7; background: #DCE6F1; mso-pattern: #DCE6F1 none;" height="40">Gamma</td>
<td class="xl65" style="border-top: .5pt solid windowtext; width: 203pt; font-size: 11.0pt; color: black; font-weight: 400; text-decoration: none; text-underline-style: none; text-line-through: none; font-family: Calibri; border-right: none; border-bottom: .5pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; background: #DCE6F1; mso-pattern: #DCE6F1 none;" width="271">packet of light (1M photons   worth)</td>
<td class="xl65" style="border-top: .5pt solid windowtext; width: 137pt; font-size: 11.0pt; color: black; font-weight: 400; text-decoration: none; text-underline-style: none; text-line-through: none; font-family: Calibri; border-right: .5pt solid #95B3D7; border-bottom: .5pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; background: #DCE6F1; mso-pattern: #DCE6F1 none;" width="183">Usually   absorbed by single atom</td>
</tr>
<tr style="height: 30.0pt;" height="40">
<td class="xl64" style="height: 30.0pt; border-top: .5pt solid windowtext; font-size: 11.0pt; color: black; font-weight: 400; text-decoration: none; text-underline-style: none; text-line-through: none; font-family: Calibri; border-right: none; border-bottom: .5pt solid windowtext; border-left: .5pt solid #95B3D7;" height="40">Neutron</td>
<td class="xl65" style="border-top: .5pt solid windowtext; width: 203pt; font-size: 11.0pt; color: black; font-weight: 400; text-decoration: none; text-underline-style: none; text-line-through: none; font-family: Calibri; border-right: none; border-bottom: .5pt solid windowtext; border-left: none;" width="271">massive   no-charge particle</td>
<td class="xl65" style="border-top: .5pt solid windowtext; width: 137pt; font-size: 11.0pt; color: black; font-weight: 400; text-decoration: none; text-underline-style: none; text-line-through: none; font-family: Calibri; border-right: .5pt solid #95B3D7; border-bottom: .5pt solid windowtext; border-left: none;" width="183">Doesn&#8217;t interact w/ atoms, can cause sickness</td>
</tr>
<tr style="height: 30.0pt;" height="40">
<td class="xl64" style="height: 30.0pt; border-top: .5pt solid windowtext; font-size: 11.0pt; color: black; font-weight: 400; text-decoration: none; text-underline-style: none; text-line-through: none; font-family: Calibri; border-right: none; border-bottom: .5pt solid windowtext; border-left: .5pt solid #95B3D7; background: #DCE6F1; mso-pattern: #DCE6F1 none;" height="40">X-rays</td>
<td class="xl65" style="border-top: .5pt solid windowtext; width: 203pt; font-size: 11.0pt; color: black; font-weight: 400; text-decoration: none; text-underline-style: none; text-line-through: none; font-family: Calibri; border-right: none; border-bottom: .5pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; background: #DCE6F1; mso-pattern: #DCE6F1 none;" width="271">packets of light (1/100 Energy   of Gamma)</td>
<td class="xl65" style="border-top: .5pt solid windowtext; width: 137pt; font-size: 11.0pt; color: black; font-weight: 400; text-decoration: none; text-underline-style: none; text-line-through: none; font-family: Calibri; border-right: .5pt solid #95B3D7; border-bottom: .5pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; background: #DCE6F1; mso-pattern: #DCE6F1 none;" width="183">Absorbed by   high-atomic number elements (not low)</td>
</tr>
<tr style="height: 30.0pt;" height="40">
<td class="xl64" style="height: 30.0pt; border-top: .5pt solid windowtext; font-size: 11.0pt; color: black; font-weight: 400; text-decoration: none; text-underline-style: none; text-line-through: none; font-family: Calibri; border-right: none; border-bottom: .5pt solid windowtext; border-left: .5pt solid #95B3D7;" height="40">Cosmic</td>
<td class="xl65" style="border-top: .5pt solid windowtext; width: 203pt; font-size: 11.0pt; color: black; font-weight: 400; text-decoration: none; text-underline-style: none; text-line-through: none; font-family: Calibri; border-right: none; border-bottom: .5pt solid windowtext; border-left: none;" width="271">Protons,   Electrons, Gamma, X-rays, Muons</td>
<td class="xl65" style="border-top: .5pt solid windowtext; width: 137pt; font-size: 11.0pt; color: black; font-weight: 400; text-decoration: none; text-underline-style: none; text-line-through: none; font-family: Calibri; border-right: .5pt solid #95B3D7; border-bottom: .5pt solid windowtext; border-left: none;" width="183">Very high in penetration (used to x-ray pyramids)</td>
</tr>
<tr style="height: 30.0pt;" height="40">
<td class="xl64" style="height: 30.0pt; border-top: .5pt solid windowtext; font-size: 11.0pt; color: black; font-weight: 400; text-decoration: none; text-underline-style: none; text-line-through: none; font-family: Calibri; border-right: none; border-bottom: .5pt solid windowtext; border-left: .5pt solid #95B3D7; background: #DCE6F1; mso-pattern: #DCE6F1 none;" height="40">Fission fragments</td>
<td class="xl65" style="border-top: .5pt solid windowtext; width: 203pt; font-size: 11.0pt; color: black; font-weight: 400; text-decoration: none; text-underline-style: none; text-line-through: none; font-family: Calibri; border-right: none; border-bottom: .5pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; background: #DCE6F1; mso-pattern: #DCE6F1 none;" width="271">Decay products</td>
<td class="xl65" style="border-top: .5pt solid windowtext; width: 137pt; font-size: 11.0pt; color: black; font-weight: 400; text-decoration: none; text-underline-style: none; text-line-through: none; font-family: Calibri; border-right: .5pt solid #95B3D7; border-bottom: .5pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; background: #DCE6F1; mso-pattern: #DCE6F1 none;" width="183">Problems when   they stop and re-decay</td>
</tr>
<tr style="height: 30.0pt;" height="40">
<td class="xl64" style="height: 30.0pt; border-top: .5pt solid windowtext; font-size: 11.0pt; color: black; font-weight: 400; text-decoration: none; text-underline-style: none; text-line-through: none; font-family: Calibri; border-right: none; border-bottom: .5pt solid windowtext; border-left: .5pt solid #95B3D7;" height="40">Cathode   rays</td>
<td class="xl65" style="border-top: .5pt solid windowtext; width: 203pt; font-size: 11.0pt; color: black; font-weight: 400; text-decoration: none; text-underline-style: none; text-line-through: none; font-family: Calibri; border-right: none; border-bottom: .5pt solid windowtext; border-left: none;" width="271">Confused   for electrons turn of 19th to 20th century</td>
<td class="xl65" style="border-top: .5pt solid windowtext; width: 137pt; font-size: 11.0pt; color: black; font-weight: 400; text-decoration: none; text-underline-style: none; text-line-through: none; font-family: Calibri; border-right: .5pt solid #95B3D7; border-bottom: .5pt solid windowtext; border-left: none;" width="183">Just the same as electrons (CRT monitors)</td>
</tr>
<tr style="height: 30.0pt;" height="40">
<td class="xl64" style="height: 30.0pt; border-top: .5pt solid windowtext; font-size: 11.0pt; color: black; font-weight: 400; text-decoration: none; text-underline-style: none; text-line-through: none; font-family: Calibri; border-right: none; border-bottom: .5pt solid windowtext; border-left: .5pt solid #95B3D7; background: #DCE6F1; mso-pattern: #DCE6F1 none;" height="40">Neutrinos</td>
<td class="xl65" style="border-top: .5pt solid windowtext; width: 203pt; font-size: 11.0pt; color: black; font-weight: 400; text-decoration: none; text-underline-style: none; text-line-through: none; font-family: Calibri; border-right: none; border-bottom: .5pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; background: #DCE6F1; mso-pattern: #DCE6F1 none;" width="271">small mass particles, largely inactive</td>
<td class="xl65" style="border-top: .5pt solid windowtext; width: 137pt; font-size: 11.0pt; color: black; font-weight: 400; text-decoration: none; text-underline-style: none; text-line-through: none; font-family: Calibri; border-right: .5pt solid #95B3D7; border-bottom: .5pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; background: #DCE6F1; mso-pattern: #DCE6F1 none;" width="183">No effect &#8211;   10^10 through every cm^2 every second</td>
</tr>
<tr style="height: 30.0pt;" height="40">
<td class="xl68" style="height: 30.0pt; border-top: .5pt solid windowtext; font-size: 11.0pt; color: black; font-weight: 400; text-decoration: none; text-underline-style: none; text-line-through: none; font-family: Calibri; border-right: none; border-bottom: .5pt solid windowtext; border-left: .5pt solid #95B3D7;" height="40">Cellphone   radiation</td>
<td class="xl69" style="border-top: .5pt solid windowtext; width: 203pt; font-size: 11.0pt; color: black; font-weight: 400; text-decoration: none; text-underline-style: none; text-line-through: none; font-family: Calibri; border-right: none; border-bottom: .5pt solid windowtext; border-left: none;" width="271">Microwaves</td>
<td class="xl69" style="border-top: .5pt solid windowtext; width: 137pt; font-size: 11.0pt; color: black; font-weight: 400; text-decoration: none; text-underline-style: none; text-line-through: none; font-family: Calibri; border-right: .5pt solid #95B3D7; border-bottom: .5pt solid windowtext; border-left: none;" width="183">Cannot break DNA molecules, only heat</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<p><em>Sources: Mueller, &#8220;Physics and Technology for Future Presidents&#8221;, Chapter 4</em></p>
<p><em><strong>Radiation Damage</strong></em></p>
<p>There are three types of radiation damage: 1) Radiation burns (tissue damage); 2) Radiation sickness (metabolism disruption); 3) Cancer (DNA damage). The first usually accompanies a nuclear explosion, and as such causes immediate damage. If one survives a large dose of radiation, it still can cause radiation sickness as rays such as gamma, which can move through the body and disrupt cellular chemistry. If one survives the radiation sickness, there is a chance that some of the rays were able to shred DNA strands, or interrupt protein sequencing, which can cause cancer cells as a result.</p>
<p>Radiation is measured as a dose, with 3 different considerations &#8211; per instance (such as x-ray or CT scan), daily (for visiting a nuclear power plant) or annual (for workers in nuclear power plants). The basic dose is measured in the amount of energy deposited by rays to a certain body mass or volume, and that is measured in SI units called Greys (and older unit still in use is a rad (Radiation Absorption Dose) &#8211; 100 rads = 1 Grey). However, different parts of the body absorb different amounts of radiation, e.g. skin absorption rate is less than the lungs absorption rate. That is part of the reason why smoking and second-hand smoking don&#8217;t have the same cancer rates. Also, different rays have different effects on the body, and different penetration rates (alpha rays are stopped by skin, while muons pass through almost all matter without interacting).</p>
<p>So, if we include the consideration for the different absorption rates of body and the different penetration rates of the ray, we can calculate the standard units of radiation effect, called Sieverts (and an older unit still in use called a rem (Roentgen Equivalent in Man) &#8211; 100 rem = 1 Sievert).</p>
<p><em><strong>Some common sources of radiation</strong></em></p>
<p>Living on earth, we are exposed to common types of background radiation, which are usually from cosmic rays and the radon gas, which is released slowly from granite close to the surface. Certain elements, like Potassium, which are indispensable for human existence, also happen to be slightly radioactive, so sleeping next to anyone means receiving a small dose of radioactivity. For the purposes of comparison, the below table switches half way between microSieverts (10^-6) and miniSieverts (10^-3)<em><strong>. </strong></em>A miniSievert is roughly equivalent to 200 million Gamma rays passing through every square centimeter of a human body.<em><strong></strong></em></p>
<table border="0" cellspacing="0" cellpadding="0" width="457">
<colgroup>
<col style="mso-width-source: userset; mso-width-alt: 8667; width: 178pt;" width="237"></col>
<col style="mso-width-source: userset; mso-width-alt: 5083; width: 104pt;" width="139"></col>
<col style="mso-width-source: userset; mso-width-alt: 2962; width: 61pt;" width="81"></col>
</colgroup>
<tbody>
<tr style="height: 15.0pt;" height="20">
<td class="xl65" style="height: 15.0pt; width: 178pt; font-size: 11.0pt; color: white; font-style: italic; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: none; text-underline-style: none; text-line-through: none; font-family: Calibri; border-top: .5pt solid #95B3D7; border-right: none; border-bottom: .5pt solid #95B3D7; border-left: .5pt solid #95B3D7; background: #4F81BD; mso-pattern: #4F81BD none;" width="237" height="20">Radiation   Source</td>
<td class="xl66" style="width: 104pt; font-size: 11pt; color: white; font-style: italic; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: none; font-family: Calibri; background: none repeat scroll 0% 0% #4f81bd; text-align: center; border: 0.5pt medium solid none #95b3d7 -moz-use-text-color;" width="139">Dose</td>
<td class="xl65" style="width: 61pt; font-size: 11.0pt; color: white; font-style: italic; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: none; text-underline-style: none; text-line-through: none; font-family: Calibri; border-top: .5pt solid #95B3D7; border-right: .5pt solid #95B3D7; border-bottom: .5pt solid #95B3D7; border-left: none; background: #4F81BD; mso-pattern: #4F81BD none;" width="81">Units</td>
</tr>
<tr style="height: 15.0pt;" height="20">
<td style="height: 15.0pt; font-size: 11.0pt; color: black; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: none; text-underline-style: none; text-line-through: none; font-family: Calibri; border-top: .5pt solid #95B3D7; border-right: none; border-bottom: .5pt solid #95B3D7; border-left: .5pt solid #95B3D7; background: #DCE6F1; mso-pattern: #DCE6F1 none;" height="20">Eating 1 banana</td>
<td class="xl67" style="font-size: 11pt; color: black; font-weight: 400; text-decoration: none; font-family: Calibri; background: none repeat scroll 0% 0% #dce6f1; text-align: center; border: 0.5pt medium solid none #95b3d7 -moz-use-text-color;">0.1</td>
<td style="font-size: 11.0pt; color: black; font-weight: 400; text-decoration: none; text-underline-style: none; text-line-through: none; font-family: Calibri; border-top: .5pt solid #95B3D7; border-right: .5pt solid #95B3D7; border-bottom: .5pt solid #95B3D7; border-left: none; background: #DCE6F1; mso-pattern: #DCE6F1 none;">μSv</td>
</tr>
<tr style="height: 15.0pt;" height="20">
<td style="height: 15.0pt; font-size: 11.0pt; color: black; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: none; text-underline-style: none; text-line-through: none; font-family: Calibri; border-top: .5pt solid #95B3D7; border-right: none; border-bottom: .5pt solid #95B3D7; border-left: .5pt solid #95B3D7;" height="20">Living   within 50mi of a Nuclear Plant</td>
<td class="xl67" style="font-size: 11pt; color: black; font-weight: 400; text-decoration: none; font-family: Calibri; text-align: center; border: 0.5pt medium solid none #95b3d7 -moz-use-text-color;">0.1</td>
<td style="font-size: 11.0pt; color: black; font-weight: 400; text-decoration: none; text-underline-style: none; text-line-through: none; font-family: Calibri; border-top: .5pt solid #95B3D7; border-right: .5pt solid #95B3D7; border-bottom: .5pt solid #95B3D7; border-left: none;">μSv / year</td>
</tr>
<tr style="height: 15.0pt;" height="20">
<td style="height: 15.0pt; font-size: 11.0pt; color: black; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: none; text-underline-style: none; text-line-through: none; font-family: Calibri; border-top: .5pt solid #95B3D7; border-right: none; border-bottom: .5pt solid #95B3D7; border-left: .5pt solid #95B3D7; background: #DCE6F1; mso-pattern: #DCE6F1 none;" height="20">Living within 50mi of a coal plant</td>
<td class="xl67" style="font-size: 11pt; color: black; font-weight: 400; text-decoration: none; font-family: Calibri; background: none repeat scroll 0% 0% #dce6f1; text-align: center; border: 0.5pt medium solid none #95b3d7 -moz-use-text-color;">0.3</td>
<td style="font-size: 11.0pt; color: black; font-weight: 400; text-decoration: none; text-underline-style: none; text-line-through: none; font-family: Calibri; border-top: .5pt solid #95B3D7; border-right: .5pt solid #95B3D7; border-bottom: .5pt solid #95B3D7; border-left: none; background: #DCE6F1; mso-pattern: #DCE6F1 none;">μSv   / year</td>
</tr>
<tr style="height: 15.0pt;" height="20">
<td style="height: 15.0pt; font-size: 11.0pt; color: black; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: none; text-underline-style: none; text-line-through: none; font-family: Calibri; border-top: .5pt solid #95B3D7; border-right: none; border-bottom: .5pt solid #95B3D7; border-left: .5pt solid #95B3D7;" height="20">Dental X-Ray</td>
<td class="xl67" style="font-size: 11pt; color: black; font-weight: 400; text-decoration: none; font-family: Calibri; text-align: center; border: 0.5pt medium solid none #95b3d7 -moz-use-text-color;">10</td>
<td style="font-size: 11.0pt; color: black; font-weight: 400; text-decoration: none; text-underline-style: none; text-line-through: none; font-family: Calibri; border-top: .5pt solid #95B3D7; border-right: .5pt solid #95B3D7; border-bottom: .5pt solid #95B3D7; border-left: none;">μSv</td>
</tr>
<tr style="height: 15.0pt;" height="20">
<td style="height: 15.0pt; font-size: 11.0pt; color: black; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: none; text-underline-style: none; text-line-through: none; font-family: Calibri; border-top: .5pt solid #95B3D7; border-right: none; border-bottom: .5pt solid #95B3D7; border-left: .5pt solid #95B3D7; background: #DCE6F1; mso-pattern: #DCE6F1 none;" height="20">Sleeping next to someone</td>
<td class="xl67" style="font-size: 11pt; color: black; font-weight: 400; text-decoration: none; font-family: Calibri; background: none repeat scroll 0% 0% #dce6f1; text-align: center; border: 0.5pt medium solid none #95b3d7 -moz-use-text-color;">30</td>
<td style="font-size: 11.0pt; color: black; font-weight: 400; text-decoration: none; text-underline-style: none; text-line-through: none; font-family: Calibri; border-top: .5pt solid #95B3D7; border-right: .5pt solid #95B3D7; border-bottom: .5pt solid #95B3D7; border-left: none; background: #DCE6F1; mso-pattern: #DCE6F1 none;">μSv   / year</td>
</tr>
<tr style="height: 15.0pt;" height="20">
<td style="height: 15.0pt; font-size: 11.0pt; color: black; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: none; text-underline-style: none; text-line-through: none; font-family: Calibri; border-top: .5pt solid #95B3D7; border-right: none; border-bottom: .5pt solid #95B3D7; border-left: .5pt solid #95B3D7;" height="20">Chest X-Ray</td>
<td class="xl67" style="font-size: 11pt; color: black; font-weight: 400; text-decoration: none; font-family: Calibri; text-align: center; border: 0.5pt medium solid none #95b3d7 -moz-use-text-color;">25</td>
<td style="font-size: 11.0pt; color: black; font-weight: 400; text-decoration: none; text-underline-style: none; text-line-through: none; font-family: Calibri; border-top: .5pt solid #95B3D7; border-right: .5pt solid #95B3D7; border-bottom: .5pt solid #95B3D7; border-left: none;">μSv / year</td>
</tr>
<tr style="height: 15.0pt;" height="20">
<td style="height: 15.0pt; font-size: 11.0pt; color: black; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: none; text-underline-style: none; text-line-through: none; font-family: Calibri; border-top: .5pt solid #95B3D7; border-right: none; border-bottom: .5pt solid #95B3D7; border-left: .5pt solid #95B3D7; background: #DCE6F1; mso-pattern: #DCE6F1 none;" height="20">Mammogram</td>
<td class="xl67" style="font-size: 11pt; color: black; font-weight: 400; text-decoration: none; font-family: Calibri; background: none repeat scroll 0% 0% #dce6f1; text-align: center; border: 0.5pt medium solid none #95b3d7 -moz-use-text-color;">3</td>
<td style="font-size: 11.0pt; color: black; font-weight: 400; text-decoration: none; text-underline-style: none; text-line-through: none; font-family: Calibri; border-top: .5pt solid #95B3D7; border-right: .5pt solid #95B3D7; border-bottom: .5pt solid #95B3D7; border-left: none; background: #DCE6F1; mso-pattern: #DCE6F1 none;">mSv</td>
</tr>
<tr style="height: 15.0pt;" height="20">
<td style="height: 15.0pt; font-size: 11.0pt; color: black; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: none; text-underline-style: none; text-line-through: none; font-family: Calibri; border-top: .5pt solid #95B3D7; border-right: none; border-bottom: .5pt solid #95B3D7; border-left: .5pt solid #95B3D7;" height="20">Avg   Background</td>
<td class="xl67" style="font-size: 11pt; color: black; font-weight: 400; text-decoration: none; font-family: Calibri; text-align: center; border: 0.5pt medium solid none #95b3d7 -moz-use-text-color;">3</td>
<td style="font-size: 11.0pt; color: black; font-weight: 400; text-decoration: none; text-underline-style: none; text-line-through: none; font-family: Calibri; border-top: .5pt solid #95B3D7; border-right: .5pt solid #95B3D7; border-bottom: .5pt solid #95B3D7; border-left: none;">mSv / year</td>
</tr>
<tr style="height: 15.0pt;" height="20">
<td style="height: 15.0pt; font-size: 11.0pt; color: black; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: none; text-underline-style: none; text-line-through: none; font-family: Calibri; border-top: .5pt solid #95B3D7; border-right: none; border-bottom: .5pt solid #95B3D7; border-left: .5pt solid #95B3D7; background: #DCE6F1; mso-pattern: #DCE6F1 none;" height="20">NY to Tokyo Flight (airline crew)</td>
<td class="xl67" style="font-size: 11pt; color: black; font-weight: 400; text-decoration: none; font-family: Calibri; background: none repeat scroll 0% 0% #dce6f1; text-align: center; border: 0.5pt medium solid none #95b3d7 -moz-use-text-color;">9</td>
<td style="font-size: 11.0pt; color: black; font-weight: 400; text-decoration: none; text-underline-style: none; text-line-through: none; font-family: Calibri; border-top: .5pt solid #95B3D7; border-right: .5pt solid #95B3D7; border-bottom: .5pt solid #95B3D7; border-left: none; background: #DCE6F1; mso-pattern: #DCE6F1 none;">mSv   / year</td>
</tr>
<tr style="height: 15.0pt;" height="20">
<td style="height: 15.0pt; font-size: 11.0pt; color: black; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: none; text-underline-style: none; text-line-through: none; font-family: Calibri; border-top: .5pt solid #95B3D7; border-right: none; border-bottom: .5pt solid #95B3D7; border-left: .5pt solid #95B3D7;" height="20">Smoking 1.5   packs per day (low)</td>
<td class="xl67" style="font-size: 11pt; color: black; font-weight: 400; text-decoration: none; font-family: Calibri; text-align: center; border: 0.5pt medium solid none #95b3d7 -moz-use-text-color;">13</td>
<td style="font-size: 11.0pt; color: black; font-weight: 400; text-decoration: none; text-underline-style: none; text-line-through: none; font-family: Calibri; border-top: .5pt solid #95B3D7; border-right: .5pt solid #95B3D7; border-bottom: .5pt solid #95B3D7; border-left: none;">mSv / year</td>
</tr>
<tr style="height: 15.0pt;" height="20">
<td style="height: 15.0pt; font-size: 11.0pt; color: black; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: none; text-underline-style: none; text-line-through: none; font-family: Calibri; border-top: .5pt solid #95B3D7; border-right: none; border-bottom: .5pt solid #95B3D7; border-left: .5pt solid #95B3D7; background: #DCE6F1; mso-pattern: #DCE6F1 none;" height="20">Smoking 1.5 packs per day (high)</td>
<td class="xl67" style="font-size: 11pt; color: black; font-weight: 400; text-decoration: none; font-family: Calibri; background: none repeat scroll 0% 0% #dce6f1; text-align: center; border: 0.5pt medium solid none #95b3d7 -moz-use-text-color;">60</td>
<td style="font-size: 11.0pt; color: black; font-weight: 400; text-decoration: none; text-underline-style: none; text-line-through: none; font-family: Calibri; border-top: .5pt solid #95B3D7; border-right: .5pt solid #95B3D7; border-bottom: .5pt solid #95B3D7; border-left: none; background: #DCE6F1; mso-pattern: #DCE6F1 none;">mSv   / year</td>
</tr>
<tr style="height: 15.0pt;" height="20">
<td style="height: 15.0pt; font-size: 11.0pt; color: black; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: none; text-underline-style: none; text-line-through: none; font-family: Calibri; border-top: .5pt solid #95B3D7; border-right: none; border-bottom: .5pt solid #95B3D7; border-left: .5pt solid #95B3D7;" height="20">Maximum Dose   for Radiation Worker</td>
<td class="xl67" style="font-size: 11pt; color: black; font-weight: 400; text-decoration: none; font-family: Calibri; text-align: center; border: 0.5pt medium solid none #95b3d7 -moz-use-text-color;">50</td>
<td style="font-size: 11.0pt; color: black; font-weight: 400; text-decoration: none; text-underline-style: none; text-line-through: none; font-family: Calibri; border-top: .5pt solid #95B3D7; border-right: .5pt solid #95B3D7; border-bottom: .5pt solid #95B3D7; border-left: none;">mSv / year</td>
</tr>
<tr style="height: 15.0pt;" height="20">
<td style="height: 15.0pt; font-size: 11.0pt; color: black; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: none; text-underline-style: none; text-line-through: none; font-family: Calibri; border-top: .5pt solid #95B3D7; border-right: none; border-bottom: .5pt solid #95B3D7; border-left: .5pt solid #95B3D7; background: #DCE6F1; mso-pattern: #DCE6F1 none;" height="20">Average dose for radiation sickness</td>
<td class="xl67" style="font-size: 11pt; color: black; font-weight: 400; text-decoration: none; font-family: Calibri; background: none repeat scroll 0% 0% #dce6f1; text-align: center; border: 0.5pt medium solid none #95b3d7 -moz-use-text-color;">400</td>
<td style="font-size: 11.0pt; color: black; font-weight: 400; text-decoration: none; text-underline-style: none; text-line-through: none; font-family: Calibri; border-top: .5pt solid #95B3D7; border-right: .5pt solid #95B3D7; border-bottom: .5pt solid #95B3D7; border-left: none; background: #DCE6F1; mso-pattern: #DCE6F1 none;">mSv</td>
</tr>
<tr style="height: 15.0pt;" height="20">
<td style="height: 15.0pt; font-size: 11.0pt; color: black; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: none; text-underline-style: none; text-line-through: none; font-family: Calibri; border-top: .5pt solid #95B3D7; border-right: none; border-bottom: .5pt solid #95B3D7; border-left: .5pt solid #95B3D7;" height="20">Usually   Fatal Radiation poisoning</td>
<td class="xl67" style="font-size: 11pt; color: black; font-weight: 400; text-decoration: none; font-family: Calibri; text-align: center; border: 0.5pt medium solid none #95b3d7 -moz-use-text-color;">4000</td>
<td style="font-size: 11.0pt; color: black; font-weight: 400; text-decoration: none; text-underline-style: none; text-line-through: none; font-family: Calibri; border-top: .5pt solid #95B3D7; border-right: .5pt solid #95B3D7; border-bottom: .5pt solid #95B3D7; border-left: none;">mSv</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<p><em>Sources: Nuclear Regulatory Commission, Environmental Protection Agency, Mueller &#8220;Physics and Technology for Future Presidents&#8221;</em></p>
<p>For a visualization of these numbers and others, please see<a href="http://xkcd.com/radiation/"> this radiation chart</a>.</p>
<p>These tables are mostly useful to present the scale of different activities and radiation exhibited by a variety of activities. It shows that nuclear power plants, in normal operation, are far less radioactive than even a human being. Smoking is by far the most dangerous elective activity in terms of radiation (the low to high difference is due to the type of tobacco, kind of smoking, etc.). However, converting this into death risk is very hard to determine. If we assume (like the EPA) that there is a linear relationship between the radiation dose and cancer probability, 250 mSv causes an increase the lifetime risk of cancer by roughly 1%. So, with an average background radiation of 3 mSv, we would expect to see 0.01% cancer deaths from background radiation. However, at smaller values, this relationship is much harder to determine and likely to hard to observe in the total population of cancers.</p>
<p><em><strong>Overall risk framework</strong></em></p>
<p>One of the hardest things to frame in radiation is the risk involved, which we usually express as risk of death. The following table summarized average US data for years 2001 to 2007.</p>
<table border="0" cellspacing="0" cellpadding="0" width="392">
<colgroup>
<col style="width: 234pt;" width="312"></col>
<col style="width: 60pt;" width="80"></col>
</colgroup>
<tbody>
<tr style="height: 15pt;" height="20">
<td style="height: 15pt; width: 234pt; font-size: 11pt; color: white; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: none; font-family: Calibri; background: none repeat scroll 0% 0% #4f81bd; border: 0.5pt medium 0.5pt 0.5pt solid none solid solid #95b3d7 -moz-use-text-color #95b3d7 #95b3d7;" width="312" height="20">Cause of Death</td>
<td style="width: 60pt; font-size: 11pt; color: white; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: none; font-family: Calibri; background: none repeat scroll 0% 0% #4f81bd; border: 0.5pt 0.5pt 0.5pt medium solid solid solid none #95b3d7 #95b3d7 #95b3d7 -moz-use-text-color;" width="80">% of Deaths</td>
</tr>
<tr style="height: 15pt;" height="20">
<td style="height: 15pt; font-size: 11pt; color: black; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: none; font-family: Calibri; background: none repeat scroll 0% 0% #dce6f1; border: 0.5pt medium 0.5pt 0.5pt solid none solid solid #95b3d7 -moz-use-text-color #95b3d7 #95b3d7;" height="20">Perinatal problems</td>
<td style="font-size: 11pt; color: black; font-weight: 400; text-decoration: none; font-family: Calibri; background: none repeat scroll 0% 0% #dce6f1; border: 0.5pt 0.5pt 0.5pt medium solid solid solid none #95b3d7 #95b3d7 #95b3d7 -moz-use-text-color;" align="right">0</td>
</tr>
<tr style="height: 15pt;" height="20">
<td style="height: 15pt; font-size: 11pt; color: black; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: none; font-family: Calibri; border: 0.5pt medium 0.5pt 0.5pt solid none solid solid #95b3d7 -moz-use-text-color #95b3d7 #95b3d7;" height="20">Pregnancy/childbirth   complications</td>
<td style="font-size: 11pt; color: black; font-weight: 400; text-decoration: none; font-family: Calibri; border: 0.5pt 0.5pt 0.5pt medium solid solid solid none #95b3d7 #95b3d7 #95b3d7 -moz-use-text-color;" align="right">0</td>
</tr>
<tr style="height: 15pt;" height="20">
<td style="height: 15pt; font-size: 11pt; color: black; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: none; font-family: Calibri; background: none repeat scroll 0% 0% #dce6f1; border: 0.5pt medium 0.5pt 0.5pt solid none solid solid #95b3d7 -moz-use-text-color #95b3d7 #95b3d7;" height="20">Accidents &#8211; Other</td>
<td style="font-size: 11pt; color: black; font-weight: 400; text-decoration: none; font-family: Calibri; background: none repeat scroll 0% 0% #dce6f1; border: 0.5pt 0.5pt 0.5pt medium solid solid solid none #95b3d7 #95b3d7 #95b3d7 -moz-use-text-color;" align="right">0.2</td>
</tr>
<tr style="height: 15pt;" height="20">
<td style="height: 15pt; font-size: 11pt; color: black; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: none; font-family: Calibri; border: 0.5pt medium 0.5pt 0.5pt solid none solid solid #95b3d7 -moz-use-text-color #95b3d7 #95b3d7;" height="20">Congenital   defects</td>
<td style="font-size: 11pt; color: black; font-weight: 400; text-decoration: none; font-family: Calibri; border: 0.5pt 0.5pt 0.5pt medium solid solid solid none #95b3d7 #95b3d7 #95b3d7 -moz-use-text-color;" align="right">0.2</td>
</tr>
<tr style="height: 15pt;" height="20">
<td style="height: 15pt; font-size: 11pt; color: black; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: none; font-family: Calibri; background: none repeat scroll 0% 0% #dce6f1; border: 0.5pt medium 0.5pt 0.5pt solid none solid solid #95b3d7 -moz-use-text-color #95b3d7 #95b3d7;" height="20">Skin diseases</td>
<td style="font-size: 11pt; color: black; font-weight: 400; text-decoration: none; font-family: Calibri; background: none repeat scroll 0% 0% #dce6f1; border: 0.5pt 0.5pt 0.5pt medium solid solid solid none #95b3d7 #95b3d7 #95b3d7 -moz-use-text-color;" align="right">0.2</td>
</tr>
<tr style="height: 15pt;" height="20">
<td style="height: 15pt; font-size: 11pt; color: black; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: none; font-family: Calibri; border: 0.5pt medium 0.5pt 0.5pt solid none solid solid #95b3d7 -moz-use-text-color #95b3d7 #95b3d7;" height="20">Undetermined   &#8211; Homicide, Suicide or Poisoning?</td>
<td style="font-size: 11pt; color: black; font-weight: 400; text-decoration: none; font-family: Calibri; border: 0.5pt 0.5pt 0.5pt medium solid solid solid none #95b3d7 #95b3d7 #95b3d7 -moz-use-text-color;" align="right">0.2</td>
</tr>
<tr style="height: 15pt;" height="20">
<td style="height: 15pt; font-size: 11pt; color: black; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: none; font-family: Calibri; background: none repeat scroll 0% 0% #dce6f1; border: 0.5pt medium 0.5pt 0.5pt solid none solid solid #95b3d7 -moz-use-text-color #95b3d7 #95b3d7;" height="20">Blood diseases</td>
<td style="font-size: 11pt; color: black; font-weight: 400; text-decoration: none; font-family: Calibri; background: none repeat scroll 0% 0% #dce6f1; border: 0.5pt 0.5pt 0.5pt medium solid solid solid none #95b3d7 #95b3d7 #95b3d7 -moz-use-text-color;" align="right">0.4</td>
</tr>
<tr style="height: 15pt;" height="20">
<td style="height: 15pt; font-size: 11pt; color: black; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: none; font-family: Calibri; border: 0.5pt medium 0.5pt 0.5pt solid none solid solid #95b3d7 -moz-use-text-color #95b3d7 #95b3d7;" height="20">Musculoskeletal   diseases</td>
<td style="font-size: 11pt; color: black; font-weight: 400; text-decoration: none; font-family: Calibri; border: 0.5pt 0.5pt 0.5pt medium solid solid solid none #95b3d7 #95b3d7 #95b3d7 -moz-use-text-color;" align="right">0.6</td>
</tr>
<tr style="height: 15pt;" height="20">
<td style="height: 15pt; font-size: 11pt; color: black; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: none; font-family: Calibri; background: none repeat scroll 0% 0% #dce6f1; border: 0.5pt medium 0.5pt 0.5pt solid none solid solid #95b3d7 -moz-use-text-color #95b3d7 #95b3d7;" height="20">Non-cancerous growths</td>
<td style="font-size: 11pt; color: black; font-weight: 400; text-decoration: none; font-family: Calibri; background: none repeat scroll 0% 0% #dce6f1; border: 0.5pt 0.5pt 0.5pt medium solid solid solid none #95b3d7 #95b3d7 #95b3d7 -moz-use-text-color;" align="right">0.6</td>
</tr>
<tr style="height: 15pt;" height="20">
<td style="height: 15pt; font-size: 11pt; color: black; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: none; font-family: Calibri; border: 0.5pt medium 0.5pt 0.5pt solid none solid solid #95b3d7 -moz-use-text-color #95b3d7 #95b3d7;" height="20">Homicide</td>
<td style="font-size: 11pt; color: black; font-weight: 400; text-decoration: none; font-family: Calibri; border: 0.5pt 0.5pt 0.5pt medium solid solid solid none #95b3d7 #95b3d7 #95b3d7 -moz-use-text-color;" align="right">0.7</td>
</tr>
<tr style="height: 15pt;" height="20">
<td style="height: 15pt; font-size: 11pt; color: black; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: none; font-family: Calibri; background: none repeat scroll 0% 0% #dce6f1; border: 0.5pt medium 0.5pt 0.5pt solid none solid solid #95b3d7 -moz-use-text-color #95b3d7 #95b3d7;" height="20">Ill-defined symptoms/causes</td>
<td style="font-size: 11pt; color: black; font-weight: 400; text-decoration: none; font-family: Calibri; background: none repeat scroll 0% 0% #dce6f1; border: 0.5pt 0.5pt 0.5pt medium solid solid solid none #95b3d7 #95b3d7 #95b3d7 -moz-use-text-color;" align="right">1.1</td>
</tr>
<tr style="height: 15pt;" height="20">
<td style="height: 15pt; font-size: 11pt; color: black; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: none; font-family: Calibri; border: 0.5pt medium 0.5pt 0.5pt solid none solid solid #95b3d7 -moz-use-text-color #95b3d7 #95b3d7;" height="20">Suicide</td>
<td style="font-size: 11pt; color: black; font-weight: 400; text-decoration: none; font-family: Calibri; border: 0.5pt 0.5pt 0.5pt medium solid solid solid none #95b3d7 #95b3d7 #95b3d7 -moz-use-text-color;" align="right">1.3</td>
</tr>
<tr style="height: 15pt;" height="20">
<td style="height: 15pt; font-size: 11pt; color: black; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: none; font-family: Calibri; background: none repeat scroll 0% 0% #dce6f1; border: 0.5pt medium 0.5pt 0.5pt solid none solid solid #95b3d7 -moz-use-text-color #95b3d7 #95b3d7;" height="20">Mental and behavioral disorders</td>
<td style="font-size: 11pt; color: black; font-weight: 400; text-decoration: none; font-family: Calibri; background: none repeat scroll 0% 0% #dce6f1; border: 0.5pt 0.5pt 0.5pt medium solid solid solid none #95b3d7 #95b3d7 #95b3d7 -moz-use-text-color;" align="right">2.2</td>
</tr>
<tr style="height: 15pt;" height="20">
<td style="height: 15pt; font-size: 11pt; color: black; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: none; font-family: Calibri; border: 0.5pt medium 0.5pt 0.5pt solid none solid solid #95b3d7 -moz-use-text-color #95b3d7 #95b3d7;" height="20">Urinary   tract diseases</td>
<td style="font-size: 11pt; color: black; font-weight: 400; text-decoration: none; font-family: Calibri; border: 0.5pt 0.5pt 0.5pt medium solid solid solid none #95b3d7 #95b3d7 #95b3d7 -moz-use-text-color;" align="right">2.4</td>
</tr>
<tr style="height: 15pt;" height="20">
<td style="height: 15pt; font-size: 11pt; color: black; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: none; font-family: Calibri; background: none repeat scroll 0% 0% #dce6f1; border: 0.5pt medium 0.5pt 0.5pt solid none solid solid #95b3d7 -moz-use-text-color #95b3d7 #95b3d7;" height="20">Infectious and parasitic diseases</td>
<td style="font-size: 11pt; color: black; font-weight: 400; text-decoration: none; font-family: Calibri; background: none repeat scroll 0% 0% #dce6f1; border: 0.5pt 0.5pt 0.5pt medium solid solid solid none #95b3d7 #95b3d7 #95b3d7 -moz-use-text-color;" align="right">2.6</td>
</tr>
<tr style="height: 15pt;" height="20">
<td style="height: 15pt; font-size: 11pt; color: black; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: none; font-family: Calibri; border: 0.5pt medium 0.5pt 0.5pt solid none solid solid #95b3d7 -moz-use-text-color #95b3d7 #95b3d7;" height="20">Digestive   system diseases</td>
<td style="font-size: 11pt; color: black; font-weight: 400; text-decoration: none; font-family: Calibri; border: 0.5pt 0.5pt 0.5pt medium solid solid solid none #95b3d7 #95b3d7 #95b3d7 -moz-use-text-color;" align="right">3.6</td>
</tr>
<tr style="height: 15pt;" height="20">
<td style="height: 15pt; font-size: 11pt; color: black; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: none; font-family: Calibri; background: none repeat scroll 0% 0% #dce6f1; border: 0.5pt medium 0.5pt 0.5pt solid none solid solid #95b3d7 -moz-use-text-color #95b3d7 #95b3d7;" height="20">Endocrine/metabolic diseases</td>
<td style="font-size: 11pt; color: black; font-weight: 400; text-decoration: none; font-family: Calibri; background: none repeat scroll 0% 0% #dce6f1; border: 0.5pt 0.5pt 0.5pt medium solid solid solid none #95b3d7 #95b3d7 #95b3d7 -moz-use-text-color;" align="right">4.1</td>
</tr>
<tr style="height: 15pt;" height="20">
<td style="height: 15pt; font-size: 11pt; color: black; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: none; font-family: Calibri; border: 0.5pt medium 0.5pt 0.5pt solid none solid solid #95b3d7 -moz-use-text-color #95b3d7 #95b3d7;" height="20">Nervous   system diseases</td>
<td style="font-size: 11pt; color: black; font-weight: 400; text-decoration: none; font-family: Calibri; border: 0.5pt 0.5pt 0.5pt medium solid solid solid none #95b3d7 #95b3d7 #95b3d7 -moz-use-text-color;" align="right">4.1</td>
</tr>
<tr style="height: 15pt;" height="20">
<td style="height: 15pt; font-size: 11pt; color: black; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: none; font-family: Calibri; background: none repeat scroll 0% 0% #dce6f1; border: 0.5pt medium 0.5pt 0.5pt solid none solid solid #95b3d7 -moz-use-text-color #95b3d7 #95b3d7;" height="20">Accidents</td>
<td style="font-size: 11pt; color: black; font-weight: 400; text-decoration: none; font-family: Calibri; background: none repeat scroll 0% 0% #dce6f1; border: 0.5pt 0.5pt 0.5pt medium solid solid solid none #95b3d7 #95b3d7 #95b3d7 -moz-use-text-color;" align="right">4.2</td>
</tr>
<tr style="height: 15pt;" height="20">
<td style="height: 15pt; font-size: 11pt; color: black; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: none; font-family: Calibri; border: 0.5pt medium 0.5pt 0.5pt solid none solid solid #95b3d7 -moz-use-text-color #95b3d7 #95b3d7;" height="20">Respiratory   diseases</td>
<td style="font-size: 11pt; color: black; font-weight: 400; text-decoration: none; font-family: Calibri; border: 0.5pt 0.5pt 0.5pt medium solid solid solid none #95b3d7 #95b3d7 #95b3d7 -moz-use-text-color;" align="right">9.7</td>
</tr>
<tr style="height: 15pt;" height="20">
<td style="height: 15pt; font-size: 11pt; color: black; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: none; font-family: Calibri; background: none repeat scroll 0% 0% #dce6f1; border: 0.5pt medium 0.5pt 0.5pt solid none solid solid #95b3d7 -moz-use-text-color #95b3d7 #95b3d7;" height="20">Cancers</td>
<td style="font-size: 11pt; color: black; font-weight: 400; text-decoration: none; font-family: Calibri; background: none repeat scroll 0% 0% #dce6f1; border: 0.5pt 0.5pt 0.5pt medium solid solid solid none #95b3d7 #95b3d7 #95b3d7 -moz-use-text-color;" align="right">23.2</td>
</tr>
<tr style="height: 15pt;" height="20">
<td style="height: 15pt; font-size: 11pt; color: black; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: none; font-family: Calibri; border: 0.5pt medium 0.5pt 0.5pt solid none solid solid #95b3d7 -moz-use-text-color #95b3d7 #95b3d7;" height="20">Circulatory   system diseases</td>
<td style="font-size: 11pt; color: black; font-weight: 400; text-decoration: none; font-family: Calibri; border: 0.5pt 0.5pt 0.5pt medium solid solid solid none #95b3d7 #95b3d7 #95b3d7 -moz-use-text-color;" align="right">38.6</td>
</tr>
<tr style="height: 15pt;" height="20">
<td style="height: 15pt; font-size: 11pt; color: black; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: none; font-family: Calibri; background: none repeat scroll 0% 0% #dce6f1; border: 0.5pt medium 0.5pt 0.5pt solid none solid solid #95b3d7 -moz-use-text-color #95b3d7 #95b3d7;" height="20">Total</td>
<td style="font-size: 11pt; color: black; font-weight: 400; text-decoration: none; font-family: Calibri; background: none repeat scroll 0% 0% #dce6f1; border: 0.5pt 0.5pt 0.5pt medium solid solid solid none #95b3d7 #95b3d7 #95b3d7 -moz-use-text-color;" align="right">100</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<p><em>Source: <a href="http://www.deathriskrankings.com/Default.aspx">Carnegie Mellon Death Risk Rankings</a></em></p>
<p>This table shows that most commonly people in the US die from circulatory system diseases and cancers. What is problematic is that radiation is not the singular cause of cancer, it is usually a minor cause of cancer. And while some cancers are more highly correlated with radiation than others, the small amount of radiation exposure cases means that the relationship is often hard to distinguish from random error. A study done on a very large cohort of similarly exposed subjects (19,000 European pilots) there was not enough data to statistically link cosmic radiation and cancer. This doesn&#8217;t mean that the risk should be ignored. Radiation is a real risk, but a risk that can be assessed, evaluated and managed.</p>
<div id="_mcePaste" class="mcePaste" style="position: absolute; left: -10000px; top: 1730px; width: 1px; height: 1px; overflow: hidden;">
<table border="0" cellspacing="0" cellpadding="0" width="392">
<colgroup>
<col style="mso-width-source: userset; mso-width-alt: 11410; width: 234pt;" width="312"></col>
<col style="mso-width-source: userset; mso-width-alt: 2925; width: 60pt;" width="80"></col>
</colgroup>
<tbody>
<tr style="height: 15.0pt;" height="20">
<td style="height: 15.0pt; width: 234pt; font-size: 11.0pt; color: white; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: none; text-underline-style: none; text-line-through: none; font-family: Calibri; border-top: .5pt solid #95B3D7; border-right: none; border-bottom: .5pt solid #95B3D7; border-left: .5pt solid #95B3D7; background: #4F81BD; mso-pattern: #4F81BD none;" width="312" height="20">Cause of Death</td>
<td style="width: 60pt; font-size: 11.0pt; color: white; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: none; text-underline-style: none; text-line-through: none; font-family: Calibri; border-top: .5pt solid #95B3D7; border-right: .5pt solid #95B3D7; border-bottom: .5pt solid #95B3D7; border-left: none; background: #4F81BD; mso-pattern: #4F81BD none;" width="80">% of Deaths</td>
</tr>
<tr style="height: 15.0pt;" height="20">
<td style="height: 15.0pt; font-size: 11.0pt; color: black; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: none; text-underline-style: none; text-line-through: none; font-family: Calibri; border-top: .5pt solid #95B3D7; border-right: none; border-bottom: .5pt solid #95B3D7; border-left: .5pt solid #95B3D7; background: #DCE6F1; mso-pattern: #DCE6F1 none;" height="20">Perinatal problems</td>
<td style="font-size: 11.0pt; color: black; font-weight: 400; text-decoration: none; text-underline-style: none; text-line-through: none; font-family: Calibri; border-top: .5pt solid #95B3D7; border-right: .5pt solid #95B3D7; border-bottom: .5pt solid #95B3D7; border-left: none; background: #DCE6F1; mso-pattern: #DCE6F1 none;" align="right">0</td>
</tr>
<tr style="height: 15.0pt;" height="20">
<td style="height: 15.0pt; font-size: 11.0pt; color: black; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: none; text-underline-style: none; text-line-through: none; font-family: Calibri; border-top: .5pt solid #95B3D7; border-right: none; border-bottom: .5pt solid #95B3D7; border-left: .5pt solid #95B3D7;" height="20">Pregnancy/childbirth   complications</td>
<td style="font-size: 11.0pt; color: black; font-weight: 400; text-decoration: none; text-underline-style: none; text-line-through: none; font-family: Calibri; border-top: .5pt solid #95B3D7; border-right: .5pt solid #95B3D7; border-bottom: .5pt solid #95B3D7; border-left: none;" align="right">0</td>
</tr>
<tr style="height: 15.0pt;" height="20">
<td style="height: 15.0pt; font-size: 11.0pt; color: black; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: none; text-underline-style: none; text-line-through: none; font-family: Calibri; border-top: .5pt solid #95B3D7; border-right: none; border-bottom: .5pt solid #95B3D7; border-left: .5pt solid #95B3D7; background: #DCE6F1; mso-pattern: #DCE6F1 none;" height="20">Accidents &#8211; Other</td>
<td style="font-size: 11.0pt; color: black; font-weight: 400; text-decoration: none; text-underline-style: none; text-line-through: none; font-family: Calibri; border-top: .5pt solid #95B3D7; border-right: .5pt solid #95B3D7; border-bottom: .5pt solid #95B3D7; border-left: none; background: #DCE6F1; mso-pattern: #DCE6F1 none;" align="right">0.2</td>
</tr>
<tr style="height: 15.0pt;" height="20">
<td style="height: 15.0pt; font-size: 11.0pt; color: black; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: none; text-underline-style: none; text-line-through: none; font-family: Calibri; border-top: .5pt solid #95B3D7; border-right: none; border-bottom: .5pt solid #95B3D7; border-left: .5pt solid #95B3D7;" height="20">Congenital   defects</td>
<td style="font-size: 11.0pt; color: black; font-weight: 400; text-decoration: none; text-underline-style: none; text-line-through: none; font-family: Calibri; border-top: .5pt solid #95B3D7; border-right: .5pt solid #95B3D7; border-bottom: .5pt solid #95B3D7; border-left: none;" align="right">0.2</td>
</tr>
<tr style="height: 15.0pt;" height="20">
<td style="height: 15.0pt; font-size: 11.0pt; color: black; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: none; text-underline-style: none; text-line-through: none; font-family: Calibri; border-top: .5pt solid #95B3D7; border-right: none; border-bottom: .5pt solid #95B3D7; border-left: .5pt solid #95B3D7; background: #DCE6F1; mso-pattern: #DCE6F1 none;" height="20">Skin diseases</td>
<td style="font-size: 11.0pt; color: black; font-weight: 400; text-decoration: none; text-underline-style: none; text-line-through: none; font-family: Calibri; border-top: .5pt solid #95B3D7; border-right: .5pt solid #95B3D7; border-bottom: .5pt solid #95B3D7; border-left: none; background: #DCE6F1; mso-pattern: #DCE6F1 none;" align="right">0.2</td>
</tr>
<tr style="height: 15.0pt;" height="20">
<td style="height: 15.0pt; font-size: 11.0pt; color: black; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: none; text-underline-style: none; text-line-through: none; font-family: Calibri; border-top: .5pt solid #95B3D7; border-right: none; border-bottom: .5pt solid #95B3D7; border-left: .5pt solid #95B3D7;" height="20">Undetermined   &#8211; Homicide, Suicide or Poisoning?</td>
<td style="font-size: 11.0pt; color: black; font-weight: 400; text-decoration: none; text-underline-style: none; text-line-through: none; font-family: Calibri; border-top: .5pt solid #95B3D7; border-right: .5pt solid #95B3D7; border-bottom: .5pt solid #95B3D7; border-left: none;" align="right">0.2</td>
</tr>
<tr style="height: 15.0pt;" height="20">
<td style="height: 15.0pt; font-size: 11.0pt; color: black; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: none; text-underline-style: none; text-line-through: none; font-family: Calibri; border-top: .5pt solid #95B3D7; border-right: none; border-bottom: .5pt solid #95B3D7; border-left: .5pt solid #95B3D7; background: #DCE6F1; mso-pattern: #DCE6F1 none;" height="20">Blood diseases</td>
<td style="font-size: 11.0pt; color: black; font-weight: 400; text-decoration: none; text-underline-style: none; text-line-through: none; font-family: Calibri; border-top: .5pt solid #95B3D7; border-right: .5pt solid #95B3D7; border-bottom: .5pt solid #95B3D7; border-left: none; background: #DCE6F1; mso-pattern: #DCE6F1 none;" align="right">0.4</td>
</tr>
<tr style="height: 15.0pt;" height="20">
<td style="height: 15.0pt; font-size: 11.0pt; color: black; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: none; text-underline-style: none; text-line-through: none; font-family: Calibri; border-top: .5pt solid #95B3D7; border-right: none; border-bottom: .5pt solid #95B3D7; border-left: .5pt solid #95B3D7;" height="20">Musculoskeletal   diseases</td>
<td style="font-size: 11.0pt; color: black; font-weight: 400; text-decoration: none; text-underline-style: none; text-line-through: none; font-family: Calibri; border-top: .5pt solid #95B3D7; border-right: .5pt solid #95B3D7; border-bottom: .5pt solid #95B3D7; border-left: none;" align="right">0.6</td>
</tr>
<tr style="height: 15.0pt;" height="20">
<td style="height: 15.0pt; font-size: 11.0pt; color: black; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: none; text-underline-style: none; text-line-through: none; font-family: Calibri; border-top: .5pt solid #95B3D7; border-right: none; border-bottom: .5pt solid #95B3D7; border-left: .5pt solid #95B3D7; background: #DCE6F1; mso-pattern: #DCE6F1 none;" height="20">Non-cancerous growths</td>
<td style="font-size: 11.0pt; color: black; font-weight: 400; text-decoration: none; text-underline-style: none; text-line-through: none; font-family: Calibri; border-top: .5pt solid #95B3D7; border-right: .5pt solid #95B3D7; border-bottom: .5pt solid #95B3D7; border-left: none; background: #DCE6F1; mso-pattern: #DCE6F1 none;" align="right">0.6</td>
</tr>
<tr style="height: 15.0pt;" height="20">
<td style="height: 15.0pt; font-size: 11.0pt; color: black; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: none; text-underline-style: none; text-line-through: none; font-family: Calibri; border-top: .5pt solid #95B3D7; border-right: none; border-bottom: .5pt solid #95B3D7; border-left: .5pt solid #95B3D7;" height="20">Homicide</td>
<td style="font-size: 11.0pt; color: black; font-weight: 400; text-decoration: none; text-underline-style: none; text-line-through: none; font-family: Calibri; border-top: .5pt solid #95B3D7; border-right: .5pt solid #95B3D7; border-bottom: .5pt solid #95B3D7; border-left: none;" align="right">0.7</td>
</tr>
<tr style="height: 15.0pt;" height="20">
<td style="height: 15.0pt; font-size: 11.0pt; color: black; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: none; text-underline-style: none; text-line-through: none; font-family: Calibri; border-top: .5pt solid #95B3D7; border-right: none; border-bottom: .5pt solid #95B3D7; border-left: .5pt solid #95B3D7; background: #DCE6F1; mso-pattern: #DCE6F1 none;" height="20">Ill-defined symptoms/causes</td>
<td style="font-size: 11.0pt; color: black; font-weight: 400; text-decoration: none; text-underline-style: none; text-line-through: none; font-family: Calibri; border-top: .5pt solid #95B3D7; border-right: .5pt solid #95B3D7; border-bottom: .5pt solid #95B3D7; border-left: none; background: #DCE6F1; mso-pattern: #DCE6F1 none;" align="right">1.1</td>
</tr>
<tr style="height: 15.0pt;" height="20">
<td style="height: 15.0pt; font-size: 11.0pt; color: black; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: none; text-underline-style: none; text-line-through: none; font-family: Calibri; border-top: .5pt solid #95B3D7; border-right: none; border-bottom: .5pt solid #95B3D7; border-left: .5pt solid #95B3D7;" height="20">Suicide</td>
<td style="font-size: 11.0pt; color: black; font-weight: 400; text-decoration: none; text-underline-style: none; text-line-through: none; font-family: Calibri; border-top: .5pt solid #95B3D7; border-right: .5pt solid #95B3D7; border-bottom: .5pt solid #95B3D7; border-left: none;" align="right">1.3</td>
</tr>
<tr style="height: 15.0pt;" height="20">
<td style="height: 15.0pt; font-size: 11.0pt; color: black; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: none; text-underline-style: none; text-line-through: none; font-family: Calibri; border-top: .5pt solid #95B3D7; border-right: none; border-bottom: .5pt solid #95B3D7; border-left: .5pt solid #95B3D7; background: #DCE6F1; mso-pattern: #DCE6F1 none;" height="20">Mental and behavioral disorders</td>
<td style="font-size: 11.0pt; color: black; font-weight: 400; text-decoration: none; text-underline-style: none; text-line-through: none; font-family: Calibri; border-top: .5pt solid #95B3D7; border-right: .5pt solid #95B3D7; border-bottom: .5pt solid #95B3D7; border-left: none; background: #DCE6F1; mso-pattern: #DCE6F1 none;" align="right">2.2</td>
</tr>
<tr style="height: 15.0pt;" height="20">
<td style="height: 15.0pt; font-size: 11.0pt; color: black; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: none; text-underline-style: none; text-line-through: none; font-family: Calibri; border-top: .5pt solid #95B3D7; border-right: none; border-bottom: .5pt solid #95B3D7; border-left: .5pt solid #95B3D7;" height="20">Urinary   tract diseases</td>
<td style="font-size: 11.0pt; color: black; font-weight: 400; text-decoration: none; text-underline-style: none; text-line-through: none; font-family: Calibri; border-top: .5pt solid #95B3D7; border-right: .5pt solid #95B3D7; border-bottom: .5pt solid #95B3D7; border-left: none;" align="right">2.4</td>
</tr>
<tr style="height: 15.0pt;" height="20">
<td style="height: 15.0pt; font-size: 11.0pt; color: black; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: none; text-underline-style: none; text-line-through: none; font-family: Calibri; border-top: .5pt solid #95B3D7; border-right: none; border-bottom: .5pt solid #95B3D7; border-left: .5pt solid #95B3D7; background: #DCE6F1; mso-pattern: #DCE6F1 none;" height="20">Infectious and parasitic diseases</td>
<td style="font-size: 11.0pt; color: black; font-weight: 400; text-decoration: none; text-underline-style: none; text-line-through: none; font-family: Calibri; border-top: .5pt solid #95B3D7; border-right: .5pt solid #95B3D7; border-bottom: .5pt solid #95B3D7; border-left: none; background: #DCE6F1; mso-pattern: #DCE6F1 none;" align="right">2.6</td>
</tr>
<tr style="height: 15.0pt;" height="20">
<td style="height: 15.0pt; font-size: 11.0pt; color: black; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: none; text-underline-style: none; text-line-through: none; font-family: Calibri; border-top: .5pt solid #95B3D7; border-right: none; border-bottom: .5pt solid #95B3D7; border-left: .5pt solid #95B3D7;" height="20">Digestive   system diseases</td>
<td style="font-size: 11.0pt; color: black; font-weight: 400; text-decoration: none; text-underline-style: none; text-line-through: none; font-family: Calibri; border-top: .5pt solid #95B3D7; border-right: .5pt solid #95B3D7; border-bottom: .5pt solid #95B3D7; border-left: none;" align="right">3.6</td>
</tr>
<tr style="height: 15.0pt;" height="20">
<td style="height: 15.0pt; font-size: 11.0pt; color: black; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: none; text-underline-style: none; text-line-through: none; font-family: Calibri; border-top: .5pt solid #95B3D7; border-right: none; border-bottom: .5pt solid #95B3D7; border-left: .5pt solid #95B3D7; background: #DCE6F1; mso-pattern: #DCE6F1 none;" height="20">Endocrine/metabolic diseases</td>
<td style="font-size: 11.0pt; color: black; font-weight: 400; text-decoration: none; text-underline-style: none; text-line-through: none; font-family: Calibri; border-top: .5pt solid #95B3D7; border-right: .5pt solid #95B3D7; border-bottom: .5pt solid #95B3D7; border-left: none; background: #DCE6F1; mso-pattern: #DCE6F1 none;" align="right">4.1</td>
</tr>
<tr style="height: 15.0pt;" height="20">
<td style="height: 15.0pt; font-size: 11.0pt; color: black; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: none; text-underline-style: none; text-line-through: none; font-family: Calibri; border-top: .5pt solid #95B3D7; border-right: none; border-bottom: .5pt solid #95B3D7; border-left: .5pt solid #95B3D7;" height="20">Nervous   system diseases</td>
<td style="font-size: 11.0pt; color: black; font-weight: 400; text-decoration: none; text-underline-style: none; text-line-through: none; font-family: Calibri; border-top: .5pt solid #95B3D7; border-right: .5pt solid #95B3D7; border-bottom: .5pt solid #95B3D7; border-left: none;" align="right">4.1</td>
</tr>
<tr style="height: 15.0pt;" height="20">
<td style="height: 15.0pt; font-size: 11.0pt; color: black; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: none; text-underline-style: none; text-line-through: none; font-family: Calibri; border-top: .5pt solid #95B3D7; border-right: none; border-bottom: .5pt solid #95B3D7; border-left: .5pt solid #95B3D7; background: #DCE6F1; mso-pattern: #DCE6F1 none;" height="20">Accidents</td>
<td style="font-size: 11.0pt; color: black; font-weight: 400; text-decoration: none; text-underline-style: none; text-line-through: none; font-family: Calibri; border-top: .5pt solid #95B3D7; border-right: .5pt solid #95B3D7; border-bottom: .5pt solid #95B3D7; border-left: none; background: #DCE6F1; mso-pattern: #DCE6F1 none;" align="right">4.2</td>
</tr>
<tr style="height: 15.0pt;" height="20">
<td style="height: 15.0pt; font-size: 11.0pt; color: black; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: none; text-underline-style: none; text-line-through: none; font-family: Calibri; border-top: .5pt solid #95B3D7; border-right: none; border-bottom: .5pt solid #95B3D7; border-left: .5pt solid #95B3D7;" height="20">Respiratory   diseases</td>
<td style="font-size: 11.0pt; color: black; font-weight: 400; text-decoration: none; text-underline-style: none; text-line-through: none; font-family: Calibri; border-top: .5pt solid #95B3D7; border-right: .5pt solid #95B3D7; border-bottom: .5pt solid #95B3D7; border-left: none;" align="right">9.7</td>
</tr>
<tr style="height: 15.0pt;" height="20">
<td style="height: 15.0pt; font-size: 11.0pt; color: black; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: none; text-underline-style: none; text-line-through: none; font-family: Calibri; border-top: .5pt solid #95B3D7; border-right: none; border-bottom: .5pt solid #95B3D7; border-left: .5pt solid #95B3D7; background: #DCE6F1; mso-pattern: #DCE6F1 none;" height="20">Cancers</td>
<td style="font-size: 11.0pt; color: black; font-weight: 400; text-decoration: none; text-underline-style: none; text-line-through: none; font-family: Calibri; border-top: .5pt solid #95B3D7; border-right: .5pt solid #95B3D7; border-bottom: .5pt solid #95B3D7; border-left: none; background: #DCE6F1; mso-pattern: #DCE6F1 none;" align="right">23.2</td>
</tr>
<tr style="height: 15.0pt;" height="20">
<td style="height: 15.0pt; font-size: 11.0pt; color: black; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: none; text-underline-style: none; text-line-through: none; font-family: Calibri; border-top: .5pt solid #95B3D7; border-right: none; border-bottom: .5pt solid #95B3D7; border-left: .5pt solid #95B3D7;" height="20">Circulatory   system diseases</td>
<td style="font-size: 11.0pt; color: black; font-weight: 400; text-decoration: none; text-underline-style: none; text-line-through: none; font-family: Calibri; border-top: .5pt solid #95B3D7; border-right: .5pt solid #95B3D7; border-bottom: .5pt solid #95B3D7; border-left: none;" align="right">38.6</td>
</tr>
<tr style="height: 15.0pt;" height="20">
<td style="height: 15.0pt; font-size: 11.0pt; color: black; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: none; text-underline-style: none; text-line-through: none; font-family: Calibri; border-top: .5pt solid #95B3D7; border-right: none; border-bottom: .5pt solid #95B3D7; border-left: .5pt solid #95B3D7; background: #DCE6F1; mso-pattern: #DCE6F1 none;" height="20">Total</td>
<td style="font-size: 11.0pt; color: black; font-weight: 400; text-decoration: none; text-underline-style: none; text-line-through: none; font-family: Calibri; border-top: .5pt solid #95B3D7; border-right: .5pt solid #95B3D7; border-bottom: .5pt solid #95B3D7; border-left: none; background: #DCE6F1; mso-pattern: #DCE6F1 none;" align="right">100</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
</div>
<p>
<style="font-size: 11pt;">(figure courtesy of http://periodictable.com/)</style></p>
]]></content:encoded>
			<wfw:commentRss>http://c2st.org/blog/radiation-from-atoms-to-sieverts/feed</wfw:commentRss>
		<slash:comments>0</slash:comments>
		</item>
		<item>
		<title>Uranium, Plutonium &amp; Cake: A Brief History of Proliferation</title>
		<link>http://c2st.org/blog/uranium-plutonium-cake-a-brief-history-of-proliferation</link>
		<comments>http://c2st.org/blog/uranium-plutonium-cake-a-brief-history-of-proliferation#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 24 May 2011 22:34:28 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Matej</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Blog]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Policy Perspectives]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Science Policy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[history]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[nuclear]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[proliferation]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://c2st.org/?p=7411</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Proliferation is but the spread of something - a technology or an idea, across a geographical area. We often...]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><em><a href="http://c2st.org/wp-content/uploads/2011/04/nuclear-for-site.png" rel="shadowbox[sbpost-7411];player=img;"><img class="alignnone size-thumbnail wp-image-7386" title="nuclear for site" src="http://c2st.org/wp-content/uploads/2011/04/nuclear-for-site-150x150.png" alt="" width="150" height="150" /></a><br />
- by Matej Mavriček, Policy Fellow</em></p>
<p>Proliferation is but the spread of something &#8211; a technology or an idea, across a geographical area. We often use the term when the &#8220;something&#8221; in question is undesirable, viewed as dangerous or infectious. So it seems only fitting that the spread of nuclear technology would be called proliferation.This article is intended as a historical background for the field of nuclear proliferation.</p>
<p><em>For more on the current issues in nuclear non-proliferation, you are invited to attend <a href="http://c2st.org/programs-c%C2%B2st/nuclear-non-proliferation">the talk by Ambassador Robert Gallucci, president of MacArthur Foundation, on May 25th at the Hughes Auditorium, Northwestern University.</a></em></p>
<p><em><strong>Vertical vs. Horizontal Proliferation</strong></em></p>
<p>Proliferation usually comes in two flavors, vertical and horizontal. Vertical proliferation means that the technology spreads within the industry or geographical area, but it reaches higher and lower areas of complexity, it spreads and develops, it evolves. In the field of nuclear arms, vertical proliferation is the development of newer, better, stronger bombs that can be deployed in a variety of ways. The development of the hydrogen bomb is an example of vertical proliferation.</p>
<p>Horizontal proliferation is when the same technology is spread across a geographical or ideological space. In the case of nuclear arms, it is the spread of nuclear technology around the world, either intentionally or not. US working with Britain and France which led to their development of the atomic bomb is an example of horizontal proliferation.</p>
<p><em><strong>Early views of proliferation</strong></em></p>
<p>Early on, proliferation was view as a fantastic idea, as nuclear material was thought to have potential to cheaply produce electricity and power, and could revolutionize the world with neigh free energy. This idea was so powerful and intoxicating that to this day one can find those who believe cold fusion (room condition fusion of atoms) is a realistic goal. But beyond that, the large energy density of nuclear material gave hope that areas that had trouble with access to more traditional energy sources, especially developing countries would be able to produce all their needs from nuclear power at a fraction of the cost.</p>
<p><em><strong>Oppenheimer vs. Baruch</strong></em></p>
<p>But that was not to be. With the detonation of nuclear weapons at Hiroshima and Nagasaki, WWII ended, and the discussion in the US turned to the future of atomic energy. Two camps develop quickly, with Robert Oppenheimer leading the argument for openness and collaboration with USSR and other countries in the world, and the Secretary of State Brynes leading the argument for preserving the &#8220;atomic competitive advantage&#8221;, and little collaboration with the Soviets. Oppenheimer had the foresight to acknowledge that the nuclear genie was out of its bottle, and that putting it back was going to be hard if not impossible. Despite rival optimism, he realized that in 5 to 10 years, USSR and other countries around the world will develop a nuclear weapon arsenal to rival the US, and despite the advantage, this race could only end in a stand-off between the two opposed sides. He was the first to publicly predict and explain the concept of nuclear terrorism in the US. He believed that any real security lay not in a competitive advantage, but collaboration and treaties, openness that engendered trust. He predicted that without that trust the world was at ever increasing risk of nuclear war, &#8220;a war without winners&#8221;.</p>
<p>And this debate was born out in a UN proposal that was to create a global International Atomic Development Authority to control the production, use and control of nuclear material, but tis plan was rejected by Stalin&#8217;s USSR. A minority in the UN, it was in fear of western powers&#8217; ability to cull their development and access to nuclear technology, and vetoed the plan, de facto starting the arms race. The Soviets were able to test their first atomic weapon in record time, barely 4 years after the Trinity test in New Mexico, in August 1949. However, by this time, the US was already in possessions of 170 nuclear weapons.</p>
<p>At the core of this is the game-theoretic concept known as the &#8220;<a href="http://muse.jhu.edu/journals/journal_of_cold_war_studies/v003/3.1jervis.html">security dilemma</a>&#8220;. A  country doesn&#8217;t exist in a vacuum, and when it builds arms to increase  it&#8217;s security, it makes other countries less secure.If alliance is not  possible, the other countries can wage immediate war to prevent military  build-up, or increase their own armaments to feel more secure. At the  end, both countries gain nothing but greater volume of arms, which is  likely to make both countries less secure. Thus, the security dilemma is  a security paradox &#8211; building arms for protection often makes countries  less secure. Some, including Jervis (who coined the term) have considered the cold war a classic example of a security dilemma.</p>
<p><em><strong>Eisenhower and the &#8220;Atoms for Peace&#8221;</strong></em></p>
<p>President Dwight Eisenhower delivered his famous &#8220;Atoms for Peace&#8221; speech in December, 1953. It started an official policy of proliferation of nuclear technology to less developed countries around the world. Some have called it a &#8220;nuclear carrot&#8221; to create and induce allies for the US in the Cold War. In practice, the US spread nuclear technology around to world, even to a few places that were doubtful as stable allies, such as Congo. Eisenhower&#8217;s programs did include an idea for an Uranium Bank, a facility that could monitor, control and review the distribution of atomic material across the world in order to ensure that it does not fall into the wrong hands. This idea was short lived, as the 50s saw discoveries of mineable uranium across the globe, where it was previously held as a scarce commodity.</p>
<p>In the field of nuclear weapons, the US was racing ahead to develop a large number of nuclear weapons and delivery systems, including nuclear-powered submarines. This race was driven in part to accomplish &#8220;first-strike&#8221; and &#8220;second strike&#8221; capabilities in order to quickly demolish an opposing nations ability to wage war.</p>
<p><em><strong>Kennedy&#8217;s Sword of Damocles</strong></em></p>
<p>In his 1961 speech before the UN, President Kennedy was the first American president to denounce nuclear weapons as a greater danger to society than they were a benefit to US security. At this point, the US had <a href="http://bos.sagepub.com/content/66/4/77/T2.large.jpg" rel="shadowbox[sbpost-7411];player=img;">a stockpile of 22,000 nuclear weapons</a> (compared to 2,400 for the USSR and 70 for Britain, as the only other nuclear powers in 1961).  And Kennedy recognized that a nuclear advantage meant nothing if a nuclear war destroyed the better part of the planet.  He realized that a nuclear disaster, a nuclear &#8220;Sword of Damocles&#8221; hung above every man, woman and child and could be triggered at any moment by &#8220;accident, miscalculation, or madness&#8221;. His thinking is ingrained in the development of the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty.</p>
<p>In the early 60s, the development of Submarine Launched Ballistic Missiles made some of the conventional armaments wisdom outdated. While an enemy might use first strike to eliminate land-based launch sites and destroy a lot of the land-based military and civilian infrastructure, the ability to launch nuclear weapons from submarines assured that the other side could retaliate from mobile and neigh-undetectable platforms. This lack of security in armaments coupled with the security dilemma gave birth to the precarious balance called the principle of Mutually Assured Destruction, or MAD. Not country could launch a nuclear attack first without being assured of destruction in return.</p>
<p><em><strong>Nixon and the NPT</strong></em></p>
<p>The first major treaty to develop controls for and establish the handling of nuclear weapons, the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT) was at the same time a major step forward in thinking about nuclear weapon stockpiles in the world. The treaty is considered to embody three principles, or pillars: 1) Nuclear Non-Proliferation; 2) Disarmament; 3) Peaceful use of nuclear energy. It divided the world into those who have nuclear arms and those who don&#8217;t. Those who had committed to non-proliferation of weapons and disarmament, and those who didn&#8217;t have them were guaranteed access to peaceful use of nuclear energy. The treaty lacked the timelines for disarmament, but it is notable that both US and USSR today have fewer stockpiles of operational weapons (weapons that could be launched in less than a day) than at the time of signing.</p>
<p>It is argued that the NPT did relatively little to hinder the US vertical proliferation (modernization of weapons) and USSR weapons development (rate of roughly 1,000 warheads a year), but it served to convince other countries to abandon nuclear programs (such as Sweden), and increase international costs for others. Arguably, this international accord, currently ratified or enforced by every country with the exception of Israel, Pakistan, India and North Korea (which withdrew in 2003).</p>
<p>The &#8220;Smiling Buddha&#8221;, an unexpected nuclear test done by India in May 1974, further tested the newly minted NPT. Despite espousing peaceful use of technology, the Indians were able to successful develop a nuclear device, but the program was soon abandoned. The program was abandoned afterwards until 1998, when the first deployable weapons are thought to have been created.</p>
<p>An interesting case of downward vertical proliferation in the US was Operation Plowshare, an attempt to find civilian uses for nuclear weapons. While originally consisting of a variety of projects, including artificial lake construction, mining and interstate road construction, the weapons were not used mostly due to local opposition. There were at least 3 detonations in Colorado, in an early attempt at shale oil extraction. The sites were underground, and remain radioactive to this day.</p>
<p><em><strong>Reagan and bankrupting the USSR</strong></em></p>
<p>By the start of the Reagan administration, the Cold War had entered its last phase. Years of emigrants (escapees?) from the USSR has painted a much less fearsome picture, and had given heart to the US that the Eastern Bloc could yet be broken. Unbeknownst to the Soviets, the US had been reducing the arsenal while maintaining or increasing the attach potential, mostly through technological advances like the Multiple Individual Reentry Vehicles (MIRVs). At the same time, the USSR continued its development of a massive stockpile to a point where it had over 3 times more bombs than all delivery methods (rockets, submarines, bombers) combined. Pressure from the US on both military and diplomatic fronts was designed to break the economic back of the Soviet Union, in hopes that that will facilitate its final collapse. Some contend that the strategy there was rather successful, if not fruitful during Reagan&#8217;s administration.</p>
<p><em><strong>The Reykjavik Summit</strong></em></p>
<p>A singular moment in the history of Cold War, and arguably the beginning of the end of Cold War, was the Reykjavik Summit in 1986 at an old French Consulate. Presidents Reagan and Gorbachev met to discuss an arms reduction treaty, which Reagan attempting to include some human rights issues as well. Despite agreements made on reduction of strategic and tactical nuclear arms, the negotiations broke down over the implementation of the Strategic Defense Initiative (SDI) which would use satellites to track nuclear arms use, and deploy countermeasures. After the failure of the summit, the SDI initiative was popularly nicknamed &#8220;Star Wars&#8221;. However, a number of smaller treaties regarding nuclear weapons were nevertheless signed following the summit, even if the overall goal of disarmament had not been reached. Eventually, these efforts resulted in the signing of the Strategic Arms Reduction Treaty (START I) that codified gradual disarmament by US and USSR/Russia, during the first Bush administration.</p>
<p><em><strong>Clinton and the former Soviet states</strong></em></p>
<p>After the collapse of the USSR, the world suddenly found itself with a number of newly forged democracies that had nuclear weapons, but not the intention to use them or the funds to maintain them. Seizing the moment, the Clinton administration forged a plant to help former soviet states dismantle both their nuclear weapons and research reactors, both of which contained the Highly Enriched Uranium (HEU) that could be used to create atomic bombs. By this time, due to technological advances, the scientific knowledge in building a nuclear bomb had become such that with access to material, a few talented Ph.D. students in physics could construct a simple device. Thus the Clinton administration tasked the DOE with developing a program to secure this material, which continues to this day.</p>
<div class="wp-caption alignnone" style="width: 838px"><a href="http://bos.sagepub.com/content/66/4/77.full"><img title="World Nuclear Weapon Stockpiles, 2010" src="http://bos.sagepub.com/content/66/4/77/T1.large.jpg" alt="World Nuclear Weapon Stockpiles, 2010; Source: Bulletin of Atomic Scientists" width="828" height="1066" /></a><p class="wp-caption-text">Source: The Nuclear Notebook, Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists</p></div>
<p><strong><em>Future of Proliferation</em></strong></p>
<p>Currently, as of 2010, there are still over 22,000 nuclear weapons in the world, which is down from a peak of 69,000 in 1986<strong><em>. </em></strong>This belies the fact that our current weapons are far more modernized than they were 25 years ago, so they are both higher in yield and in efficiency of deployment. But it has been decreasing over time, and President Obama has supported further disarmament efforts with the new START treaty signed in April of 2010 with the USSR. If we disregard our recent history with India and North Korea, the US has been successful, if slow, in fulfilling the three pillars of the NPT treaty. The easiest way to prevent nuclear proliferation is to keep a close check on the material and spent fuel (both from reactors and weapons), and we have been successfully using a myriad of systems for several years to do this. But there are still too many weapons in the ex USSR that has not been adequately secured. And with US alone still maintaining 2,500 operation weapons, and over 450 intercontinental ballistic missiles (ICBMs) on high alert (deployable within 20 minutes), we are still far from a world safe from nuclear war.</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
]]></content:encoded>
			<wfw:commentRss>http://c2st.org/blog/uranium-plutonium-cake-a-brief-history-of-proliferation/feed</wfw:commentRss>
		<slash:comments>0</slash:comments>
		</item>
		<item>
		<title>Cybersecurity &#8211; Critically Underprovided</title>
		<link>http://c2st.org/policy-perspectives/cybersecurity-critically-underprovided</link>
		<comments>http://c2st.org/policy-perspectives/cybersecurity-critically-underprovided#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 14 Apr 2011 20:51:13 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Matej</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Policy Perspectives]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[cybersecurity]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[externalities]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[free-riding]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[information]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Policy]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://c2st.org/?p=6865</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Cybersecurity today is as much a part of our lives as health care, and in more than one way resembles immunization efforts....]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a href="http://c2st.org/wp-content/uploads/2010/12/Cybr-Scrty-for-CC-site_150_94.jpg" rel="shadowbox[sbpost-6865];player=img;"><img class="alignnone size-full wp-image-4487" title="Cybr-Scrty-for-CC-site_150_94" src="http://c2st.org/wp-content/uploads/2010/12/Cybr-Scrty-for-CC-site_150_94.jpg" alt="" width="150" height="93" /></a></p>
<p>- <em>by Matej Mavricek, Policy Fellow</em></p>
<p>Cybersecurity today is as much a part of our lives as health care, and in more than one way resembles immunization efforts. Our information is as much in danger from a variety of threats as our bodies are in danger from a variety of pathogens, and the response to both is similar: awareness, prevention, and, if necessary, treatment. Much like immunization, the more people use security measures properly and diligently, the less danger there is to the population as a whole. But because there is a cost to security, some will eschew their own responsibility and rely on others to take the necessary precautions, in a classic example of <a href="http://plato.stanford.edu/entries/free-rider/">free rider problem</a>. Such behavior can only be combated on a societal level, if we are ever to have an optimal level of security from threats to our personal information.</p>
<p>The age we live in, the information age, has brought us technological capacity beyond the imagination of just a decade or two ago. While there are still no flying cars, we are able to communicate instantaneously and costless with everyone on the planet through the internet. An average internet user today can consume in a day more information than <a href="http://answers.google.com/answers/threadview?id=402795">an average person living in the 17th century could in their entire lifetime</a>. We are able to go everywhere in the world, read anything, even see what it would be like to be standing on a corner of a street in New Delhi, Paris or <a href="http://maps.google.com/?ie=UTF8&amp;ll=41.883141,-87.630129&amp;spn=0.026903,0.051327&amp;z=15&amp;layer=c&amp;cbll=41.888941,-87.624252&amp;panoid=p9yLr5yOSm1LcoBHfFZfYg&amp;cbp=12,220.26,,0,-27.28">Chicago</a> without leaving the comfort of our ergonomic chair.</p>
<p>Beyond mere consumers of information, we have become generators of information. The modern web (2.0 or 3.0 depending on who is asked) allows us to project everything about our lives, <a href="http://www.telegraph.co.uk/science/science-news/8055375/Scientists-publish-DNA-results-to-encourage-worldwide-databases.html">even our DNA sequence</a>, for public use of everyone in the world.  Our calendars, GPS locations, thoughts and even medical records now all exist in a virtual location.</p>
<p>While this enabled our lives to run smoother, and leave us with more free time for pursuits we might consider more vital, this preponderance of personal information stored online has not come without cost. Of the simplest ones, there is the cost of time necessary to manage dozens if not hundreds of different online identities in forms of username and passwords.  Others are more complicated, such as guarding our personal information against phishing and hacking schemes, that take active and continuous efforts to combat. The preponderance of ways we use the internet has also created a preponderance of ways in which someone can obtain our information without our consent, and use it maliciously.</p>
<p>Cybersecurity is the term we give these efforts to safeguard our information, whether we are an individual, an organization or a larger entity, such as a city or a country. They encompass awareness, prevention and treatment efforts to safeguard information. The first part, awareness, comes from continuous education on part of users and generators of information, who need to be aware of the threats in order to most efficiently decide how to guard against them. Prevention comes in many forms, from precaution and savvy (such as not responding to <a href="http://potifos.com/fraud/">Nigerian princes</a>) to protocols and programs (such as antivirus or firewall applications). Finally, treatment is attempted to recover hijacked systems and contaminated files.</p>
<p>In this way, cybersecurity resembles very closely our efforts to safeguard our health. We educate ourselves on the latest developments in medicine, we take precautions in response to contemporary threats (during flu season, for example), and we resort to hospitals and medicine when things have progressed beyond our ability to cope with them. Cybersecurity then resembles immunization very closely: both are used to protect against specific threats, both have to be continuously monitored and occasionally redone, and both have a cost. This cost can be a monetary cost, a cost of time or merely convenience. This cost is also what prevents some from obtaining the proper immunization (or cybersecurity) despite the risks.</p>
<p>However, part of this behavior is psychological &#8211; the larger the proportion of a population that has been immunized against a risk, the lesser the risk to the rest of the population. Which means some members of society will count on others to bear that cost, and immunize themselves, thus lowering the risk for everyone. And this is a typical example of what economists call free-riding, or <a href="http://www.econlib.org/library/Enc/PublicGoods.html">avoidance of cost in provision of a public good.</a> A public good is defined as any good <a href="http://www.pitt.edu/~upjecon/MCG/MICRO/GOVT/Pubgood.html">that provides equal benefit to all in a society</a> regardless of who bore the cost (non-rivalrous), and none in society can be prevented from consuming it (non-excludable). Traditional examples of a public good are clean air, national defense, public radio, but immunization &amp; cybersecurity also fall within the category.</p>
<p>The problem of &#8220;free-riding&#8221; means that public goods are always underfunded, and as a result are always underprovided. This is true in the case of immunization &amp; cybersecurity &#8211; left to ourselves, we would never provide enough national defense, public radio or cybersecurity, as some members of society would eschew their share of the cost, whatever form that cost took.</p>
<p>This is what is called <a href="http://elmo.shore.ctc.edu/economics/market.htm">a market failure</a>, and where the government is usually required to step in in some fashion in order to insure optimal provision of the public good. In a perfect world, the government would subsidize those goods we want more of (such as cybersecurity, immunization, national defense, clean air, etc.) and offset it by taxing those goods we want less of in society, the exact opposite of a public good, called public &#8220;bads&#8221; (such as smoke stacks, cigarettes, alcohol, household waste).</p>
<p>Overall, cyber security, despite the best efforts of those who dedicate their careers to it, will remain an underprovided good because there is a cost associated to each individual, but the benefit is shared among all individuals in society. In order to have functional and well provided goods in society, not only must we fight the urge to &#8220;free-ride&#8221; on others (by having very weak passwords, for one), but also push for the government to effectively subsidize the good in a myriad of ways &#8211; provide funding for research, endorse standards in the industry and enable communication and information dissemination in order to make fighting cybersecurity easier.</p>
]]></content:encoded>
			<wfw:commentRss>http://c2st.org/policy-perspectives/cybersecurity-critically-underprovided/feed</wfw:commentRss>
		<slash:comments>0</slash:comments>
		</item>
		<item>
		<title>The Trouble With Blending</title>
		<link>http://c2st.org/policy-perspectives/the-trouble-with-blending</link>
		<comments>http://c2st.org/policy-perspectives/the-trouble-with-blending#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 14 Apr 2011 17:42:39 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Matej</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Policy Perspectives]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[blending]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[EPA]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[ethanol]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[pxpbkp8fc2]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://c2st.org/?p=6861</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Policy Intern Matej Mavricek discusses the challenges inherent in adding ethanol to gasoline]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a href="http://c2st.org/wp-content/uploads/2011/04/blend-wall-corn-gasoline.jpg" rel="shadowbox[sbpost-6861];player=img;"><img class="alignnone size-full wp-image-7144" title="blend-wall-corn-gasoline" src="http://c2st.org/wp-content/uploads/2011/04/blend-wall-corn-gasoline.jpg" alt="" width="276" height="200" /></a></p>
<p><em>- by Matej Mavriček, Policy Fellow</em></p>
<p>On October 13, the EPA issued a statement permitting the increase <a href="http://www.google.com/url?q=http%3A%2F%2Fyosemite.epa.gov%2Fopa%2Fadmpress.nsf%2F0%2FBF822DDBEC29C0DC852577BB005BAC0F&amp;sa=D&amp;sntz=1&amp;usg=AFQjCNFsk-q4Psx3-MdFz7yqDMDXhGv0YQ">of</a><a href="http://www.google.com/url?q=http%3A%2F%2Fyosemite.epa.gov%2Fopa%2Fadmpress.nsf%2F0%2FBF822DDBEC29C0DC852577BB005BAC0F&amp;sa=D&amp;sntz=1&amp;usg=AFQjCNFsk-q4Psx3-MdFz7yqDMDXhGv0YQ"> </a><a href="http://www.google.com/url?q=http%3A%2F%2Fyosemite.epa.gov%2Fopa%2Fadmpress.nsf%2F0%2FBF822DDBEC29C0DC852577BB005BAC0F&amp;sa=D&amp;sntz=1&amp;usg=AFQjCNFsk-q4Psx3-MdFz7yqDMDXhGv0YQ">the</a><a href="http://www.google.com/url?q=http%3A%2F%2Fyosemite.epa.gov%2Fopa%2Fadmpress.nsf%2F0%2FBF822DDBEC29C0DC852577BB005BAC0F&amp;sa=D&amp;sntz=1&amp;usg=AFQjCNFsk-q4Psx3-MdFz7yqDMDXhGv0YQ"> </a><a href="http://www.google.com/url?q=http%3A%2F%2Fyosemite.epa.gov%2Fopa%2Fadmpress.nsf%2F0%2FBF822DDBEC29C0DC852577BB005BAC0F&amp;sa=D&amp;sntz=1&amp;usg=AFQjCNFsk-q4Psx3-MdFz7yqDMDXhGv0YQ">ethanol</a><a href="http://www.google.com/url?q=http%3A%2F%2Fyosemite.epa.gov%2Fopa%2Fadmpress.nsf%2F0%2FBF822DDBEC29C0DC852577BB005BAC0F&amp;sa=D&amp;sntz=1&amp;usg=AFQjCNFsk-q4Psx3-MdFz7yqDMDXhGv0YQ"> </a><a href="http://www.google.com/url?q=http%3A%2F%2Fyosemite.epa.gov%2Fopa%2Fadmpress.nsf%2F0%2FBF822DDBEC29C0DC852577BB005BAC0F&amp;sa=D&amp;sntz=1&amp;usg=AFQjCNFsk-q4Psx3-MdFz7yqDMDXhGv0YQ">blend</a><a href="http://www.google.com/url?q=http%3A%2F%2Fyosemite.epa.gov%2Fopa%2Fadmpress.nsf%2F0%2FBF822DDBEC29C0DC852577BB005BAC0F&amp;sa=D&amp;sntz=1&amp;usg=AFQjCNFsk-q4Psx3-MdFz7yqDMDXhGv0YQ"> </a><a href="http://www.google.com/url?q=http%3A%2F%2Fyosemite.epa.gov%2Fopa%2Fadmpress.nsf%2F0%2FBF822DDBEC29C0DC852577BB005BAC0F&amp;sa=D&amp;sntz=1&amp;usg=AFQjCNFsk-q4Psx3-MdFz7yqDMDXhGv0YQ">wall</a><a href="http://www.google.com/url?q=http%3A%2F%2Fyosemite.epa.gov%2Fopa%2Fadmpress.nsf%2F0%2FBF822DDBEC29C0DC852577BB005BAC0F&amp;sa=D&amp;sntz=1&amp;usg=AFQjCNFsk-q4Psx3-MdFz7yqDMDXhGv0YQ"> </a><a href="http://www.google.com/url?q=http%3A%2F%2Fyosemite.epa.gov%2Fopa%2Fadmpress.nsf%2F0%2FBF822DDBEC29C0DC852577BB005BAC0F&amp;sa=D&amp;sntz=1&amp;usg=AFQjCNFsk-q4Psx3-MdFz7yqDMDXhGv0YQ">from</a><a href="http://www.google.com/url?q=http%3A%2F%2Fyosemite.epa.gov%2Fopa%2Fadmpress.nsf%2F0%2FBF822DDBEC29C0DC852577BB005BAC0F&amp;sa=D&amp;sntz=1&amp;usg=AFQjCNFsk-q4Psx3-MdFz7yqDMDXhGv0YQ"> 10% </a><a href="http://www.google.com/url?q=http%3A%2F%2Fyosemite.epa.gov%2Fopa%2Fadmpress.nsf%2F0%2FBF822DDBEC29C0DC852577BB005BAC0F&amp;sa=D&amp;sntz=1&amp;usg=AFQjCNFsk-q4Psx3-MdFz7yqDMDXhGv0YQ">to</a><a href="http://www.google.com/url?q=http%3A%2F%2Fyosemite.epa.gov%2Fopa%2Fadmpress.nsf%2F0%2FBF822DDBEC29C0DC852577BB005BAC0F&amp;sa=D&amp;sntz=1&amp;usg=AFQjCNFsk-q4Psx3-MdFz7yqDMDXhGv0YQ"> 15%</a>, instituting a new fuel in the US market, the E15 (85% gasoline, 15% ethanol mix). The fuel is only approved for cars, light-duty trucks and medium-size passenger vehicles <a href="http://www.google.com/url?q=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.epa.gov%2Fotaq%2Fregs%2Ffuels%2Fadditive%2Fe15%2F%23use&amp;sa=D&amp;sntz=1&amp;usg=AFQjCNG1v7Z89vsyeDUid6uz4KtR6KyWGw">manufactured</a><a href="http://www.google.com/url?q=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.epa.gov%2Fotaq%2Fregs%2Ffuels%2Fadditive%2Fe15%2F%23use&amp;sa=D&amp;sntz=1&amp;usg=AFQjCNG1v7Z89vsyeDUid6uz4KtR6KyWGw"> </a><a href="http://www.google.com/url?q=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.epa.gov%2Fotaq%2Fregs%2Ffuels%2Fadditive%2Fe15%2F%23use&amp;sa=D&amp;sntz=1&amp;usg=AFQjCNG1v7Z89vsyeDUid6uz4KtR6KyWGw">in</a><a href="http://www.google.com/url?q=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.epa.gov%2Fotaq%2Fregs%2Ffuels%2Fadditive%2Fe15%2F%23use&amp;sa=D&amp;sntz=1&amp;usg=AFQjCNG1v7Z89vsyeDUid6uz4KtR6KyWGw"> 2007 </a><a href="http://www.google.com/url?q=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.epa.gov%2Fotaq%2Fregs%2Ffuels%2Fadditive%2Fe15%2F%23use&amp;sa=D&amp;sntz=1&amp;usg=AFQjCNG1v7Z89vsyeDUid6uz4KtR6KyWGw">and</a><a href="http://www.google.com/url?q=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.epa.gov%2Fotaq%2Fregs%2Ffuels%2Fadditive%2Fe15%2F%23use&amp;sa=D&amp;sntz=1&amp;usg=AFQjCNG1v7Z89vsyeDUid6uz4KtR6KyWGw"> </a><a href="http://www.google.com/url?q=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.epa.gov%2Fotaq%2Fregs%2Ffuels%2Fadditive%2Fe15%2F%23use&amp;sa=D&amp;sntz=1&amp;usg=AFQjCNG1v7Z89vsyeDUid6uz4KtR6KyWGw">later</a>. The concern is the <a href="http://www.google.com/url?q=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.fueltestkit.com%2Fpetition_e15.html&amp;sa=D&amp;sntz=1&amp;usg=AFQjCNHKtz1wgp4m7Cffmihq0y7PQjo2UQ">unknown</a><a href="http://www.google.com/url?q=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.fueltestkit.com%2Fpetition_e15.html&amp;sa=D&amp;sntz=1&amp;usg=AFQjCNHKtz1wgp4m7Cffmihq0y7PQjo2UQ"> </a><a href="http://www.google.com/url?q=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.fueltestkit.com%2Fpetition_e15.html&amp;sa=D&amp;sntz=1&amp;usg=AFQjCNHKtz1wgp4m7Cffmihq0y7PQjo2UQ">effects</a><a href="http://www.google.com/url?q=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.fueltestkit.com%2Fpetition_e15.html&amp;sa=D&amp;sntz=1&amp;usg=AFQjCNHKtz1wgp4m7Cffmihq0y7PQjo2UQ"> </a><a href="http://www.google.com/url?q=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.fueltestkit.com%2Fpetition_e15.html&amp;sa=D&amp;sntz=1&amp;usg=AFQjCNHKtz1wgp4m7Cffmihq0y7PQjo2UQ">on</a><a href="http://www.google.com/url?q=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.fueltestkit.com%2Fpetition_e15.html&amp;sa=D&amp;sntz=1&amp;usg=AFQjCNHKtz1wgp4m7Cffmihq0y7PQjo2UQ"> </a><a href="http://www.google.com/url?q=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.fueltestkit.com%2Fpetition_e15.html&amp;sa=D&amp;sntz=1&amp;usg=AFQjCNHKtz1wgp4m7Cffmihq0y7PQjo2UQ">vehicles</a> with model years prior to 2007, <a href="http://www.google.com/url?q=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.greentechmedia.com%2Farticles%2Fread%2Fethanol-and-the-looming-blend-wall-the-epas-catch-22%2F&amp;sa=D&amp;sntz=1&amp;usg=AFQjCNEKVnzXNohS58bKSDCM1_fOpl7qsQ">including</a><a href="http://www.google.com/url?q=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.greentechmedia.com%2Farticles%2Fread%2Fethanol-and-the-looming-blend-wall-the-epas-catch-22%2F&amp;sa=D&amp;sntz=1&amp;usg=AFQjCNEKVnzXNohS58bKSDCM1_fOpl7qsQ"> </a><a href="http://www.google.com/url?q=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.greentechmedia.com%2Farticles%2Fread%2Fethanol-and-the-looming-blend-wall-the-epas-catch-22%2F&amp;sa=D&amp;sntz=1&amp;usg=AFQjCNEKVnzXNohS58bKSDCM1_fOpl7qsQ">engine</a><a href="http://www.google.com/url?q=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.greentechmedia.com%2Farticles%2Fread%2Fethanol-and-the-looming-blend-wall-the-epas-catch-22%2F&amp;sa=D&amp;sntz=1&amp;usg=AFQjCNEKVnzXNohS58bKSDCM1_fOpl7qsQ"> </a><a href="http://www.google.com/url?q=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.greentechmedia.com%2Farticles%2Fread%2Fethanol-and-the-looming-blend-wall-the-epas-catch-22%2F&amp;sa=D&amp;sntz=1&amp;usg=AFQjCNEKVnzXNohS58bKSDCM1_fOpl7qsQ">effects</a><a href="http://www.google.com/url?q=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.greentechmedia.com%2Farticles%2Fread%2Fethanol-and-the-looming-blend-wall-the-epas-catch-22%2F&amp;sa=D&amp;sntz=1&amp;usg=AFQjCNEKVnzXNohS58bKSDCM1_fOpl7qsQ">, </a><a href="http://www.google.com/url?q=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.greentechmedia.com%2Farticles%2Fread%2Fethanol-and-the-looming-blend-wall-the-epas-catch-22%2F&amp;sa=D&amp;sntz=1&amp;usg=AFQjCNEKVnzXNohS58bKSDCM1_fOpl7qsQ">idling</a><a href="http://www.google.com/url?q=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.greentechmedia.com%2Farticles%2Fread%2Fethanol-and-the-looming-blend-wall-the-epas-catch-22%2F&amp;sa=D&amp;sntz=1&amp;usg=AFQjCNEKVnzXNohS58bKSDCM1_fOpl7qsQ"> </a><a href="http://www.google.com/url?q=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.greentechmedia.com%2Farticles%2Fread%2Fethanol-and-the-looming-blend-wall-the-epas-catch-22%2F&amp;sa=D&amp;sntz=1&amp;usg=AFQjCNEKVnzXNohS58bKSDCM1_fOpl7qsQ">effects</a><a href="http://www.google.com/url?q=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.greentechmedia.com%2Farticles%2Fread%2Fethanol-and-the-looming-blend-wall-the-epas-catch-22%2F&amp;sa=D&amp;sntz=1&amp;usg=AFQjCNEKVnzXNohS58bKSDCM1_fOpl7qsQ"> </a><a href="http://www.google.com/url?q=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.greentechmedia.com%2Farticles%2Fread%2Fethanol-and-the-looming-blend-wall-the-epas-catch-22%2F&amp;sa=D&amp;sntz=1&amp;usg=AFQjCNEKVnzXNohS58bKSDCM1_fOpl7qsQ">and</a><a href="http://www.google.com/url?q=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.greentechmedia.com%2Farticles%2Fread%2Fethanol-and-the-looming-blend-wall-the-epas-catch-22%2F&amp;sa=D&amp;sntz=1&amp;usg=AFQjCNEKVnzXNohS58bKSDCM1_fOpl7qsQ"> </a><a href="http://www.google.com/url?q=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.greentechmedia.com%2Farticles%2Fread%2Fethanol-and-the-looming-blend-wall-the-epas-catch-22%2F&amp;sa=D&amp;sntz=1&amp;usg=AFQjCNEKVnzXNohS58bKSDCM1_fOpl7qsQ">exhaust</a><a href="http://www.google.com/url?q=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.greentechmedia.com%2Farticles%2Fread%2Fethanol-and-the-looming-blend-wall-the-epas-catch-22%2F&amp;sa=D&amp;sntz=1&amp;usg=AFQjCNEKVnzXNohS58bKSDCM1_fOpl7qsQ"> </a><a href="http://www.google.com/url?q=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.greentechmedia.com%2Farticles%2Fread%2Fethanol-and-the-looming-blend-wall-the-epas-catch-22%2F&amp;sa=D&amp;sntz=1&amp;usg=AFQjCNEKVnzXNohS58bKSDCM1_fOpl7qsQ">temperatures</a> despite insistence of industry associations to allow the fuel for cars with <a href="http://www.google.com/url?q=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.ethanolrfa.org%2Fnews%2Fentry%2Fepa-missing-an-opportunity-with-e15-market-bifurcation%2F&amp;sa=D&amp;sntz=1&amp;usg=AFQjCNFE4yAFb39Fdp_IOmAw9uq8rHA65Q">model</a><a href="http://www.google.com/url?q=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.ethanolrfa.org%2Fnews%2Fentry%2Fepa-missing-an-opportunity-with-e15-market-bifurcation%2F&amp;sa=D&amp;sntz=1&amp;usg=AFQjCNFE4yAFb39Fdp_IOmAw9uq8rHA65Q"> </a><a href="http://www.google.com/url?q=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.ethanolrfa.org%2Fnews%2Fentry%2Fepa-missing-an-opportunity-with-e15-market-bifurcation%2F&amp;sa=D&amp;sntz=1&amp;usg=AFQjCNFE4yAFb39Fdp_IOmAw9uq8rHA65Q">years</a><a href="http://www.google.com/url?q=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.ethanolrfa.org%2Fnews%2Fentry%2Fepa-missing-an-opportunity-with-e15-market-bifurcation%2F&amp;sa=D&amp;sntz=1&amp;usg=AFQjCNFE4yAFb39Fdp_IOmAw9uq8rHA65Q"> </a><a href="http://www.google.com/url?q=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.ethanolrfa.org%2Fnews%2Fentry%2Fepa-missing-an-opportunity-with-e15-market-bifurcation%2F&amp;sa=D&amp;sntz=1&amp;usg=AFQjCNFE4yAFb39Fdp_IOmAw9uq8rHA65Q">up</a><a href="http://www.google.com/url?q=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.ethanolrfa.org%2Fnews%2Fentry%2Fepa-missing-an-opportunity-with-e15-market-bifurcation%2F&amp;sa=D&amp;sntz=1&amp;usg=AFQjCNFE4yAFb39Fdp_IOmAw9uq8rHA65Q"> </a><a href="http://www.google.com/url?q=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.ethanolrfa.org%2Fnews%2Fentry%2Fepa-missing-an-opportunity-with-e15-market-bifurcation%2F&amp;sa=D&amp;sntz=1&amp;usg=AFQjCNFE4yAFb39Fdp_IOmAw9uq8rHA65Q">to</a><a href="http://www.google.com/url?q=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.ethanolrfa.org%2Fnews%2Fentry%2Fepa-missing-an-opportunity-with-e15-market-bifurcation%2F&amp;sa=D&amp;sntz=1&amp;usg=AFQjCNFE4yAFb39Fdp_IOmAw9uq8rHA65Q"> 2001</a>, and <a href="http://www.google.com/url?q=http%3A%2F%2Fethanolrfa.3cdn.net%2F934abeccc70545542f_96m6bugqf.pdf&amp;sa=D&amp;sntz=1&amp;usg=AFQjCNGwi-rn8HUItIx9ItMH8go1CVAyKw">even</a><a href="http://www.google.com/url?q=http%3A%2F%2Fethanolrfa.3cdn.net%2F934abeccc70545542f_96m6bugqf.pdf&amp;sa=D&amp;sntz=1&amp;usg=AFQjCNGwi-rn8HUItIx9ItMH8go1CVAyKw"> </a><a href="http://www.google.com/url?q=http%3A%2F%2Fethanolrfa.3cdn.net%2F934abeccc70545542f_96m6bugqf.pdf&amp;sa=D&amp;sntz=1&amp;usg=AFQjCNGwi-rn8HUItIx9ItMH8go1CVAyKw">up</a><a href="http://www.google.com/url?q=http%3A%2F%2Fethanolrfa.3cdn.net%2F934abeccc70545542f_96m6bugqf.pdf&amp;sa=D&amp;sntz=1&amp;usg=AFQjCNGwi-rn8HUItIx9ItMH8go1CVAyKw"> </a><a href="http://www.google.com/url?q=http%3A%2F%2Fethanolrfa.3cdn.net%2F934abeccc70545542f_96m6bugqf.pdf&amp;sa=D&amp;sntz=1&amp;usg=AFQjCNGwi-rn8HUItIx9ItMH8go1CVAyKw">to</a><a href="http://www.google.com/url?q=http%3A%2F%2Fethanolrfa.3cdn.net%2F934abeccc70545542f_96m6bugqf.pdf&amp;sa=D&amp;sntz=1&amp;usg=AFQjCNGwi-rn8HUItIx9ItMH8go1CVAyKw"> 1994</a>. Further concern is that E10 leads to higher costs for consumers due to it’s lower energy density (about 33.1 MJ/L for E10 vs 34.2 MJ/L for gasoline, or 96%).</p>
<p>With over 95% market share, corn ethanol dominates the US ethanol market. The current blend wall of 10% means the use of about 30% of the US corn crop to produce around 13 billion gallons of ethanol this year, according the <a href="http://www.google.com/url?q=https%3A%2F%2Fblogs.anl.gov%2Fexpertsguide%2Fseth-snyder%2F&amp;sa=D&amp;sntz=1&amp;usg=AFQjCNEkG9mMSO4PhLyIVzeaspVpAqjFBg">Seth</a><a href="http://www.google.com/url?q=https%3A%2F%2Fblogs.anl.gov%2Fexpertsguide%2Fseth-snyder%2F&amp;sa=D&amp;sntz=1&amp;usg=AFQjCNEkG9mMSO4PhLyIVzeaspVpAqjFBg"> </a><a href="http://www.google.com/url?q=https%3A%2F%2Fblogs.anl.gov%2Fexpertsguide%2Fseth-snyder%2F&amp;sa=D&amp;sntz=1&amp;usg=AFQjCNEkG9mMSO4PhLyIVzeaspVpAqjFBg">Snyder</a><a href="http://www.google.com/url?q=https%3A%2F%2Fblogs.anl.gov%2Fexpertsguide%2Fseth-snyder%2F&amp;sa=D&amp;sntz=1&amp;usg=AFQjCNEkG9mMSO4PhLyIVzeaspVpAqjFBg">, </a><a href="http://www.google.com/url?q=https%3A%2F%2Fblogs.anl.gov%2Fexpertsguide%2Fseth-snyder%2F&amp;sa=D&amp;sntz=1&amp;usg=AFQjCNEkG9mMSO4PhLyIVzeaspVpAqjFBg">Ph</a><a href="http://www.google.com/url?q=https%3A%2F%2Fblogs.anl.gov%2Fexpertsguide%2Fseth-snyder%2F&amp;sa=D&amp;sntz=1&amp;usg=AFQjCNEkG9mMSO4PhLyIVzeaspVpAqjFBg">.</a><a href="http://www.google.com/url?q=https%3A%2F%2Fblogs.anl.gov%2Fexpertsguide%2Fseth-snyder%2F&amp;sa=D&amp;sntz=1&amp;usg=AFQjCNEkG9mMSO4PhLyIVzeaspVpAqjFBg">D</a><a href="http://www.google.com/url?q=https%3A%2F%2Fblogs.anl.gov%2Fexpertsguide%2Fseth-snyder%2F&amp;sa=D&amp;sntz=1&amp;usg=AFQjCNEkG9mMSO4PhLyIVzeaspVpAqjFBg">. </a><a href="http://www.google.com/url?q=https%3A%2F%2Fblogs.anl.gov%2Fexpertsguide%2Fseth-snyder%2F&amp;sa=D&amp;sntz=1&amp;usg=AFQjCNEkG9mMSO4PhLyIVzeaspVpAqjFBg">of</a><a href="http://www.google.com/url?q=https%3A%2F%2Fblogs.anl.gov%2Fexpertsguide%2Fseth-snyder%2F&amp;sa=D&amp;sntz=1&amp;usg=AFQjCNEkG9mMSO4PhLyIVzeaspVpAqjFBg"> </a><a href="http://www.google.com/url?q=https%3A%2F%2Fblogs.anl.gov%2Fexpertsguide%2Fseth-snyder%2F&amp;sa=D&amp;sntz=1&amp;usg=AFQjCNEkG9mMSO4PhLyIVzeaspVpAqjFBg">the</a><a href="http://www.google.com/url?q=https%3A%2F%2Fblogs.anl.gov%2Fexpertsguide%2Fseth-snyder%2F&amp;sa=D&amp;sntz=1&amp;usg=AFQjCNEkG9mMSO4PhLyIVzeaspVpAqjFBg"> </a><a href="http://www.google.com/url?q=https%3A%2F%2Fblogs.anl.gov%2Fexpertsguide%2Fseth-snyder%2F&amp;sa=D&amp;sntz=1&amp;usg=AFQjCNEkG9mMSO4PhLyIVzeaspVpAqjFBg">Argonne</a><a href="http://www.google.com/url?q=https%3A%2F%2Fblogs.anl.gov%2Fexpertsguide%2Fseth-snyder%2F&amp;sa=D&amp;sntz=1&amp;usg=AFQjCNEkG9mMSO4PhLyIVzeaspVpAqjFBg"> </a><a href="http://www.google.com/url?q=https%3A%2F%2Fblogs.anl.gov%2Fexpertsguide%2Fseth-snyder%2F&amp;sa=D&amp;sntz=1&amp;usg=AFQjCNEkG9mMSO4PhLyIVzeaspVpAqjFBg">National</a><a href="http://www.google.com/url?q=https%3A%2F%2Fblogs.anl.gov%2Fexpertsguide%2Fseth-snyder%2F&amp;sa=D&amp;sntz=1&amp;usg=AFQjCNEkG9mMSO4PhLyIVzeaspVpAqjFBg"> </a><a href="http://www.google.com/url?q=https%3A%2F%2Fblogs.anl.gov%2Fexpertsguide%2Fseth-snyder%2F&amp;sa=D&amp;sntz=1&amp;usg=AFQjCNEkG9mMSO4PhLyIVzeaspVpAqjFBg">Laboratory</a> at the recent Future Fuels talk at IIT hosted by C2ST. However, corn conversion into ethanol consumes only the carbohydrate content of the crop, leaving the fiber and protein behind in what is called Distiller’s Grain, which is a growing and important component in US animal feed. However, the market seems to be <a href="http://www.google.com/url?q=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.brighterenergy.org%2F17524%2Fnews%2Fbioenergy%2Fethanol-industry-warned-of-saturated-animal-feed-market%2F&amp;sa=D&amp;sntz=1&amp;usg=AFQjCNGmOcH0bG0ce9h1aLNPjgi4jwm9Xw">getting</a><a href="http://www.google.com/url?q=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.brighterenergy.org%2F17524%2Fnews%2Fbioenergy%2Fethanol-industry-warned-of-saturated-animal-feed-market%2F&amp;sa=D&amp;sntz=1&amp;usg=AFQjCNGmOcH0bG0ce9h1aLNPjgi4jwm9Xw"> </a><a href="http://www.google.com/url?q=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.brighterenergy.org%2F17524%2Fnews%2Fbioenergy%2Fethanol-industry-warned-of-saturated-animal-feed-market%2F&amp;sa=D&amp;sntz=1&amp;usg=AFQjCNGmOcH0bG0ce9h1aLNPjgi4jwm9Xw">close</a><a href="http://www.google.com/url?q=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.brighterenergy.org%2F17524%2Fnews%2Fbioenergy%2Fethanol-industry-warned-of-saturated-animal-feed-market%2F&amp;sa=D&amp;sntz=1&amp;usg=AFQjCNGmOcH0bG0ce9h1aLNPjgi4jwm9Xw"> </a><a href="http://www.google.com/url?q=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.brighterenergy.org%2F17524%2Fnews%2Fbioenergy%2Fethanol-industry-warned-of-saturated-animal-feed-market%2F&amp;sa=D&amp;sntz=1&amp;usg=AFQjCNGmOcH0bG0ce9h1aLNPjgi4jwm9Xw">to</a><a href="http://www.google.com/url?q=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.brighterenergy.org%2F17524%2Fnews%2Fbioenergy%2Fethanol-industry-warned-of-saturated-animal-feed-market%2F&amp;sa=D&amp;sntz=1&amp;usg=AFQjCNGmOcH0bG0ce9h1aLNPjgi4jwm9Xw"> </a><a href="http://www.google.com/url?q=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.brighterenergy.org%2F17524%2Fnews%2Fbioenergy%2Fethanol-industry-warned-of-saturated-animal-feed-market%2F&amp;sa=D&amp;sntz=1&amp;usg=AFQjCNGmOcH0bG0ce9h1aLNPjgi4jwm9Xw">saturation</a> with Distiller’s Grain, partially due to “feed wall” which limits the percentage of Distiller’s Grain in overall animal feed. The US currently exports around <a href="http://www.google.com/url?q=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.ethanolrfa.org%2Fnews%2Fentry%2Fdistillers-grains-and-ethanol-markets-inextricably-linked-says-rfa-chief%2F&amp;sa=D&amp;sntz=1&amp;usg=AFQjCNGYD9qTN1P4XV-SxoZbsdwcr7aaPw">27% </a><a href="http://www.google.com/url?q=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.ethanolrfa.org%2Fnews%2Fentry%2Fdistillers-grains-and-ethanol-markets-inextricably-linked-says-rfa-chief%2F&amp;sa=D&amp;sntz=1&amp;usg=AFQjCNGYD9qTN1P4XV-SxoZbsdwcr7aaPw">of</a><a href="http://www.google.com/url?q=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.ethanolrfa.org%2Fnews%2Fentry%2Fdistillers-grains-and-ethanol-markets-inextricably-linked-says-rfa-chief%2F&amp;sa=D&amp;sntz=1&amp;usg=AFQjCNGYD9qTN1P4XV-SxoZbsdwcr7aaPw"> </a><a href="http://www.google.com/url?q=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.ethanolrfa.org%2Fnews%2Fentry%2Fdistillers-grains-and-ethanol-markets-inextricably-linked-says-rfa-chief%2F&amp;sa=D&amp;sntz=1&amp;usg=AFQjCNGYD9qTN1P4XV-SxoZbsdwcr7aaPw">the</a><a href="http://www.google.com/url?q=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.ethanolrfa.org%2Fnews%2Fentry%2Fdistillers-grains-and-ethanol-markets-inextricably-linked-says-rfa-chief%2F&amp;sa=D&amp;sntz=1&amp;usg=AFQjCNGYD9qTN1P4XV-SxoZbsdwcr7aaPw"> 33.5 </a><a href="http://www.google.com/url?q=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.ethanolrfa.org%2Fnews%2Fentry%2Fdistillers-grains-and-ethanol-markets-inextricably-linked-says-rfa-chief%2F&amp;sa=D&amp;sntz=1&amp;usg=AFQjCNGYD9qTN1P4XV-SxoZbsdwcr7aaPw">million</a><a href="http://www.google.com/url?q=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.ethanolrfa.org%2Fnews%2Fentry%2Fdistillers-grains-and-ethanol-markets-inextricably-linked-says-rfa-chief%2F&amp;sa=D&amp;sntz=1&amp;usg=AFQjCNGYD9qTN1P4XV-SxoZbsdwcr7aaPw"> </a><a href="http://www.google.com/url?q=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.ethanolrfa.org%2Fnews%2Fentry%2Fdistillers-grains-and-ethanol-markets-inextricably-linked-says-rfa-chief%2F&amp;sa=D&amp;sntz=1&amp;usg=AFQjCNGYD9qTN1P4XV-SxoZbsdwcr7aaPw">metric</a><a href="http://www.google.com/url?q=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.ethanolrfa.org%2Fnews%2Fentry%2Fdistillers-grains-and-ethanol-markets-inextricably-linked-says-rfa-chief%2F&amp;sa=D&amp;sntz=1&amp;usg=AFQjCNGYD9qTN1P4XV-SxoZbsdwcr7aaPw"> </a><a href="http://www.google.com/url?q=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.ethanolrfa.org%2Fnews%2Fentry%2Fdistillers-grains-and-ethanol-markets-inextricably-linked-says-rfa-chief%2F&amp;sa=D&amp;sntz=1&amp;usg=AFQjCNGYD9qTN1P4XV-SxoZbsdwcr7aaPw">tons</a><a href="http://www.google.com/url?q=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.ethanolrfa.org%2Fnews%2Fentry%2Fdistillers-grains-and-ethanol-markets-inextricably-linked-says-rfa-chief%2F&amp;sa=D&amp;sntz=1&amp;usg=AFQjCNGYD9qTN1P4XV-SxoZbsdwcr7aaPw"> (</a><a href="http://www.google.com/url?q=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.ethanolrfa.org%2Fnews%2Fentry%2Fdistillers-grains-and-ethanol-markets-inextricably-linked-says-rfa-chief%2F&amp;sa=D&amp;sntz=1&amp;usg=AFQjCNGYD9qTN1P4XV-SxoZbsdwcr7aaPw">mmt</a><a href="http://www.google.com/url?q=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.ethanolrfa.org%2Fnews%2Fentry%2Fdistillers-grains-and-ethanol-markets-inextricably-linked-says-rfa-chief%2F&amp;sa=D&amp;sntz=1&amp;usg=AFQjCNGYD9qTN1P4XV-SxoZbsdwcr7aaPw">) </a>of Distiller’s Grain, valued currently at around $4.5 billion.</p>
<p>The US currently has <a href="http://www.google.com/url?q=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.cbo.gov%2Fdoc.cfm%3Findex%3D11477&amp;sa=D&amp;sntz=1&amp;usg=AFQjCNFAeg7w1W4eHFbkkCUpLrHARkpC7w">several</a><a href="http://www.google.com/url?q=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.cbo.gov%2Fdoc.cfm%3Findex%3D11477&amp;sa=D&amp;sntz=1&amp;usg=AFQjCNFAeg7w1W4eHFbkkCUpLrHARkpC7w"> </a><a href="http://www.google.com/url?q=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.cbo.gov%2Fdoc.cfm%3Findex%3D11477&amp;sa=D&amp;sntz=1&amp;usg=AFQjCNFAeg7w1W4eHFbkkCUpLrHARkpC7w">subsidie</a>s that <a href="http://www.google.com/url?q=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.greentechmedia.com%2Farticles%2Fread%2Fthe-true-cost-of-corn-ethanol%2F&amp;sa=D&amp;sntz=1&amp;usg=AFQjCNFN2XpyFr4uxtOCLBm89XjkIiKo9A">encourage</a><a href="http://www.google.com/url?q=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.greentechmedia.com%2Farticles%2Fread%2Fthe-true-cost-of-corn-ethanol%2F&amp;sa=D&amp;sntz=1&amp;usg=AFQjCNFN2XpyFr4uxtOCLBm89XjkIiKo9A"> </a><a href="http://www.google.com/url?q=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.greentechmedia.com%2Farticles%2Fread%2Fthe-true-cost-of-corn-ethanol%2F&amp;sa=D&amp;sntz=1&amp;usg=AFQjCNFN2XpyFr4uxtOCLBm89XjkIiKo9A">the</a><a href="http://www.google.com/url?q=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.greentechmedia.com%2Farticles%2Fread%2Fthe-true-cost-of-corn-ethanol%2F&amp;sa=D&amp;sntz=1&amp;usg=AFQjCNFN2XpyFr4uxtOCLBm89XjkIiKo9A"> </a><a href="http://www.google.com/url?q=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.greentechmedia.com%2Farticles%2Fread%2Fthe-true-cost-of-corn-ethanol%2F&amp;sa=D&amp;sntz=1&amp;usg=AFQjCNFN2XpyFr4uxtOCLBm89XjkIiKo9A">production</a><a href="http://www.google.com/url?q=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.greentechmedia.com%2Farticles%2Fread%2Fthe-true-cost-of-corn-ethanol%2F&amp;sa=D&amp;sntz=1&amp;usg=AFQjCNFN2XpyFr4uxtOCLBm89XjkIiKo9A"> </a><a href="http://www.google.com/url?q=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.greentechmedia.com%2Farticles%2Fread%2Fthe-true-cost-of-corn-ethanol%2F&amp;sa=D&amp;sntz=1&amp;usg=AFQjCNFN2XpyFr4uxtOCLBm89XjkIiKo9A">of</a><a href="http://www.google.com/url?q=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.greentechmedia.com%2Farticles%2Fread%2Fthe-true-cost-of-corn-ethanol%2F&amp;sa=D&amp;sntz=1&amp;usg=AFQjCNFN2XpyFr4uxtOCLBm89XjkIiKo9A"> </a><a href="http://www.google.com/url?q=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.greentechmedia.com%2Farticles%2Fread%2Fthe-true-cost-of-corn-ethanol%2F&amp;sa=D&amp;sntz=1&amp;usg=AFQjCNFN2XpyFr4uxtOCLBm89XjkIiKo9A">corn</a><a href="http://www.google.com/url?q=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.greentechmedia.com%2Farticles%2Fread%2Fthe-true-cost-of-corn-ethanol%2F&amp;sa=D&amp;sntz=1&amp;usg=AFQjCNFN2XpyFr4uxtOCLBm89XjkIiKo9A"> </a><a href="http://www.google.com/url?q=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.greentechmedia.com%2Farticles%2Fread%2Fthe-true-cost-of-corn-ethanol%2F&amp;sa=D&amp;sntz=1&amp;usg=AFQjCNFN2XpyFr4uxtOCLBm89XjkIiKo9A">ethanol</a>, the most direct one being the $0.45/gal “blender’s credit” to blend ethanol with petroleum. Next, there is the indirect subsidy, the $0.54/gal tariff on Brazilian sugarcane ethanol, both of which <a href="http://www.google.com/url?q=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.prnewswire.com%2Fnews-releases%2Fepa-decision-should-signal-end-to-ethanol-subsidies-and-trade-protection-104886354.html&amp;sa=D&amp;sntz=1&amp;usg=AFQjCNGOn7uYnE4HkWcsvNjOVezz6OUbuQ">might</a><a href="http://www.google.com/url?q=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.prnewswire.com%2Fnews-releases%2Fepa-decision-should-signal-end-to-ethanol-subsidies-and-trade-protection-104886354.html&amp;sa=D&amp;sntz=1&amp;usg=AFQjCNGOn7uYnE4HkWcsvNjOVezz6OUbuQ"> </a><a href="http://www.google.com/url?q=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.prnewswire.com%2Fnews-releases%2Fepa-decision-should-signal-end-to-ethanol-subsidies-and-trade-protection-104886354.html&amp;sa=D&amp;sntz=1&amp;usg=AFQjCNGOn7uYnE4HkWcsvNjOVezz6OUbuQ">be</a><a href="http://www.google.com/url?q=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.prnewswire.com%2Fnews-releases%2Fepa-decision-should-signal-end-to-ethanol-subsidies-and-trade-protection-104886354.html&amp;sa=D&amp;sntz=1&amp;usg=AFQjCNGOn7uYnE4HkWcsvNjOVezz6OUbuQ"> </a><a href="http://www.google.com/url?q=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.prnewswire.com%2Fnews-releases%2Fepa-decision-should-signal-end-to-ethanol-subsidies-and-trade-protection-104886354.html&amp;sa=D&amp;sntz=1&amp;usg=AFQjCNGOn7uYnE4HkWcsvNjOVezz6OUbuQ">phased</a><a href="http://www.google.com/url?q=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.prnewswire.com%2Fnews-releases%2Fepa-decision-should-signal-end-to-ethanol-subsidies-and-trade-protection-104886354.html&amp;sa=D&amp;sntz=1&amp;usg=AFQjCNGOn7uYnE4HkWcsvNjOVezz6OUbuQ"> </a><a href="http://www.google.com/url?q=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.prnewswire.com%2Fnews-releases%2Fepa-decision-should-signal-end-to-ethanol-subsidies-and-trade-protection-104886354.html&amp;sa=D&amp;sntz=1&amp;usg=AFQjCNGOn7uYnE4HkWcsvNjOVezz6OUbuQ">out</a><a href="http://www.google.com/url?q=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.prnewswire.com%2Fnews-releases%2Fepa-decision-should-signal-end-to-ethanol-subsidies-and-trade-protection-104886354.html&amp;sa=D&amp;sntz=1&amp;usg=AFQjCNGOn7uYnE4HkWcsvNjOVezz6OUbuQ"> </a><a href="http://www.google.com/url?q=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.prnewswire.com%2Fnews-releases%2Fepa-decision-should-signal-end-to-ethanol-subsidies-and-trade-protection-104886354.html&amp;sa=D&amp;sntz=1&amp;usg=AFQjCNGOn7uYnE4HkWcsvNjOVezz6OUbuQ">by</a><a href="http://www.google.com/url?q=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.prnewswire.com%2Fnews-releases%2Fepa-decision-should-signal-end-to-ethanol-subsidies-and-trade-protection-104886354.html&amp;sa=D&amp;sntz=1&amp;usg=AFQjCNGOn7uYnE4HkWcsvNjOVezz6OUbuQ"> </a><a href="http://www.google.com/url?q=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.prnewswire.com%2Fnews-releases%2Fepa-decision-should-signal-end-to-ethanol-subsidies-and-trade-protection-104886354.html&amp;sa=D&amp;sntz=1&amp;usg=AFQjCNGOn7uYnE4HkWcsvNjOVezz6OUbuQ">the</a><a href="http://www.google.com/url?q=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.prnewswire.com%2Fnews-releases%2Fepa-decision-should-signal-end-to-ethanol-subsidies-and-trade-protection-104886354.html&amp;sa=D&amp;sntz=1&amp;usg=AFQjCNGOn7uYnE4HkWcsvNjOVezz6OUbuQ"> </a><a href="http://www.google.com/url?q=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.prnewswire.com%2Fnews-releases%2Fepa-decision-should-signal-end-to-ethanol-subsidies-and-trade-protection-104886354.html&amp;sa=D&amp;sntz=1&amp;usg=AFQjCNGOn7uYnE4HkWcsvNjOVezz6OUbuQ">end</a><a href="http://www.google.com/url?q=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.prnewswire.com%2Fnews-releases%2Fepa-decision-should-signal-end-to-ethanol-subsidies-and-trade-protection-104886354.html&amp;sa=D&amp;sntz=1&amp;usg=AFQjCNGOn7uYnE4HkWcsvNjOVezz6OUbuQ"> </a><a href="http://www.google.com/url?q=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.prnewswire.com%2Fnews-releases%2Fepa-decision-should-signal-end-to-ethanol-subsidies-and-trade-protection-104886354.html&amp;sa=D&amp;sntz=1&amp;usg=AFQjCNGOn7uYnE4HkWcsvNjOVezz6OUbuQ">of</a><a href="http://www.google.com/url?q=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.prnewswire.com%2Fnews-releases%2Fepa-decision-should-signal-end-to-ethanol-subsidies-and-trade-protection-104886354.html&amp;sa=D&amp;sntz=1&amp;usg=AFQjCNGOn7uYnE4HkWcsvNjOVezz6OUbuQ"> </a><a href="http://www.google.com/url?q=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.prnewswire.com%2Fnews-releases%2Fepa-decision-should-signal-end-to-ethanol-subsidies-and-trade-protection-104886354.html&amp;sa=D&amp;sntz=1&amp;usg=AFQjCNGOn7uYnE4HkWcsvNjOVezz6OUbuQ">the</a><a href="http://www.google.com/url?q=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.prnewswire.com%2Fnews-releases%2Fepa-decision-should-signal-end-to-ethanol-subsidies-and-trade-protection-104886354.html&amp;sa=D&amp;sntz=1&amp;usg=AFQjCNGOn7uYnE4HkWcsvNjOVezz6OUbuQ"> 2010 </a><a href="http://www.google.com/url?q=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.prnewswire.com%2Fnews-releases%2Fepa-decision-should-signal-end-to-ethanol-subsidies-and-trade-protection-104886354.html&amp;sa=D&amp;sntz=1&amp;usg=AFQjCNGOn7uYnE4HkWcsvNjOVezz6OUbuQ">FY</a> with the new decision to raise the blend wall. A recent <a href="http://www.google.com/url?q=http%3A%2F%2Fcboblog.cbo.gov%2F%3Fp%3D1161&amp;sa=D&amp;sntz=1&amp;usg=AFQjCNEJvEOjMLp3d5Uc_ZLPeWLnPkRfdg">CBO</a><a href="http://www.google.com/url?q=http%3A%2F%2Fcboblog.cbo.gov%2F%3Fp%3D1161&amp;sa=D&amp;sntz=1&amp;usg=AFQjCNEJvEOjMLp3d5Uc_ZLPeWLnPkRfdg"> </a><a href="http://www.google.com/url?q=http%3A%2F%2Fcboblog.cbo.gov%2F%3Fp%3D1161&amp;sa=D&amp;sntz=1&amp;usg=AFQjCNEJvEOjMLp3d5Uc_ZLPeWLnPkRfdg">report</a> stated that in terms of greenhouse gas reductions, the US tax payers would pay around $750 per ton of CO2 removed for ethanol instead of using gasoline, compared to $20 &#8211; $40 per ton of CO2 for the commercially available offset strategies.</p>
<p>US corn ethanol provides thousands of domestic energy industry jobs, and diversifies the market for corn and satisfies a part of the US demand for transportation fuels which currently sits at around <a href="http://www.google.com/url?q=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.eia.doe.gov%2Fsteo%2Fgifs%2FFig13.gif&amp;sa=D&amp;sntz=1&amp;usg=AFQjCNG7HaslE7DiusLj-enN6amIeWvC4Q">8 </a><a href="http://www.google.com/url?q=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.eia.doe.gov%2Fsteo%2Fgifs%2FFig13.gif&amp;sa=D&amp;sntz=1&amp;usg=AFQjCNG7HaslE7DiusLj-enN6amIeWvC4Q">million</a><a href="http://www.google.com/url?q=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.eia.doe.gov%2Fsteo%2Fgifs%2FFig13.gif&amp;sa=D&amp;sntz=1&amp;usg=AFQjCNG7HaslE7DiusLj-enN6amIeWvC4Q"> </a><a href="http://www.google.com/url?q=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.eia.doe.gov%2Fsteo%2Fgifs%2FFig13.gif&amp;sa=D&amp;sntz=1&amp;usg=AFQjCNG7HaslE7DiusLj-enN6amIeWvC4Q">barrels</a><a href="http://www.google.com/url?q=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.eia.doe.gov%2Fsteo%2Fgifs%2FFig13.gif&amp;sa=D&amp;sntz=1&amp;usg=AFQjCNG7HaslE7DiusLj-enN6amIeWvC4Q"> </a><a href="http://www.google.com/url?q=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.eia.doe.gov%2Fsteo%2Fgifs%2FFig13.gif&amp;sa=D&amp;sntz=1&amp;usg=AFQjCNG7HaslE7DiusLj-enN6amIeWvC4Q">a</a><a href="http://www.google.com/url?q=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.eia.doe.gov%2Fsteo%2Fgifs%2FFig13.gif&amp;sa=D&amp;sntz=1&amp;usg=AFQjCNG7HaslE7DiusLj-enN6amIeWvC4Q"> </a><a href="http://www.google.com/url?q=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.eia.doe.gov%2Fsteo%2Fgifs%2FFig13.gif&amp;sa=D&amp;sntz=1&amp;usg=AFQjCNG7HaslE7DiusLj-enN6amIeWvC4Q">day</a> (336 million gallons a day, or roughly 1.1 gal/person&amp;day in the US), there are limits to this potential &#8211; an E15 blend would use 45% of the entire crop of corn in the US. The US ethanol industry has experienced tremendous growth, from 1 billion gallons a year in 2001 to 13 billion gallons a year in 2010. The maximum potential blend wall, even if all vehicles could be retrofitted to use it is less than 30% (that includes 100% of US corn today, and it is lower due to lower energy density of ethanol). Which still leaves 70% of our fuel in petroleum, thus not solving the issues of energy independence, carbon emissions and fossil fuel dependence. There are are other biofuels and alternative fuels on the horizon, but until they are developed we are still dependent on mostly foreign crude oil.</p>
]]></content:encoded>
			<wfw:commentRss>http://c2st.org/policy-perspectives/the-trouble-with-blending/feed</wfw:commentRss>
		<slash:comments>0</slash:comments>
		</item>
		<item>
		<title>The Future of Fuels</title>
		<link>http://c2st.org/policy-perspectives/the-future-of-fuels</link>
		<comments>http://c2st.org/policy-perspectives/the-future-of-fuels#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 21 Mar 2011 20:11:04 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>alison</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Policy Perspectives]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://c2st.org/?p=6802</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[The Future of Fuels in the US Analysis of Fuel Options for the Next Several Decades - by Matej Mavriček, Policy Fellow Gasoline is today the liquid fuel of choice for most vehicles in the world. Growing economies in developing countries such as China and India will continue to drive demand for petroleum and liquid [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<h2>The Future of Fuels in the US</h2>
<h3><em>Analysis of Fuel Options for the Next Several Decades</em></h3>
<p><em>- by Matej Mavriček, Policy Fellow</em></p>
<div>Gasoline is today the liquid fuel of choice for most vehicles in the world. Growing economies in developing countries such as China and India will continue to drive demand for petroleum and liquid fuels for decades to come, as the living standard in those countries rises. It is uncertain what the world supply of petroleum can keep with demand through the next several decades. Energy inefficiency of the transportation sector, geopolitical significance of oil and the potential impacts of greenhouse gas driven climate change are all additional reasons why substitutes to petroleum need to be considered in a comprehensive manner. It is with that prospect in mind that this article presents a list of conceivable alternatives to petroleum, and evaluates their prospects as part of the energy portfolio in the future.</div>
<p><object width="529" height="386"><param name="movie" value="http://c2st.org/wp-content/flashxml/photo-flipper-fx/PhotoFlipperFX.swf"></param><param name="scale" value="noscale"></param><param name="salign" value="tl"></param><param name="wmode" value="window"></param><param name="allowScriptAccess" value="sameDomain"></param><param name="allowFullScreen" value="true"></param><param name="sameDomain" value="true"></param><param name="flashvars" value="folderPath=http://c2st.org/wp-content/flashxml/photo-flipper-fx/"></param><embed type="application/x-shockwave-flash" width="529" height="386" src="http://c2st.org/wp-content/flashxml/photo-flipper-fx/PhotoFlipperFX.swf" scale="noscale" salign="tl" wmode="window" allowScriptAccess="sameDomain" allowFullScreen="true" flashvars="folderPath=http://c2st.org/wp-content/flashxml/photo-flipper-fx/"></embed></object></p>
<p><a name="Top"></a></p>
<h3 style="background-color: transparent; font-family: Times; line-height: normal; font-size: small;"><span style="font-size: 15px; font-weight: bold;">Why should you care about gasoline?</span></h3>
<div style="background-color: transparent; font-family: Times; line-height: normal; font-size: small;">
<p>The growing consumption of petroleum products has made gasoline the major energy source that drives our economy, our lives and our industry in the US. <a href="http://www.google.com/url?q=https%3A%2F%2Fflowcharts.llnl.gov%2Fcontent%2Fenergy%2Fenergy_archive%2Fenergy_flow_2009%2FLLNL_US_Energy_Flow_2009.png&amp;sa=D&amp;sntz=1&amp;usg=AFQjCNFrzrP3OKnCm0b_ONJa79EkSinnYQ">Over 37% of total energy used</a> in the US was in petroleum last year (more than any other single source), and 70% of petroleum was used in transportation. In fact, we consume <a href="http://www.google.com/url?q=https%3A%2F%2Fflowcharts.llnl.gov%2Fcontent%2Fenergy%2Fenergy_archive%2Fenergy_flow_2009%2FLLNL_US_Energy_Flow_2009.png&amp;sa=D&amp;sntz=1&amp;usg=AFQjCNFrzrP3OKnCm0b_ONJa79EkSinnYQ">more energy in transportation than any other sector</a> of the economy. The transportation sector is also the most energy inefficient one &#8211; largely due to <a href="http://www.google.com/url?q=http%3A%2F%2Fweb.mit.edu%2Fnewsoffice%2F2010%2Fexplained-carnot-0519.html&amp;sa=D&amp;sntz=1&amp;usg=AFQjCNHWodZmCE7c_VoNH8NVwZ6BGH1BAg">Carnot limits</a> compounded with other auxiliary factors as well. As the US consumes about <a href="http://www.google.com/url?q=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.eia.doe.gov%2Faer%2Ftxt%2Fptb1110.html&amp;sa=D&amp;sntz=1&amp;usg=AFQjCNGFzet0AW7JwZ6ypNy4ycguhxc8OA">1/5 of the world’s production of crude oil,</a> our growing demand increases the world price of gasoline, increasing the costs of energy for our entire economy, and the rest of the world as well. The US consumption of petroleum and other fossil fuels currently is responsible for <a href="http://www.google.com/url?q=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.eia.doe.gov%2Foiaf%2F1605%2Fggrpt%2Findex.html%23global&amp;sa=D&amp;sntz=1&amp;usg=AFQjCNFe9HguRpiAPwcsbReWT7TKXF4QAg">20% of world CO2 emissions</a>, despite the fact that the US contains less than 5% of world population. Potential effects of greenhouse gas driven climate change would prove damaging to our natural resources, industry, agriculture and even our way of life.There are alternatives, but because of the massive infrastructure we have built around transportation (<a href="http://www.google.com/url?q=http%3A%2F%2Ffactfinder.census.gov%2Fservlet%2FIBQTable%3F_bm%3Dy%26-ds_name%3DEC0744I2%26-ib_type%3DNAICS2002%26-NAICS2002%3D447&amp;sa=D&amp;sntz=1&amp;usg=AFQjCNEUjlYE7W93XpU9J7MsVjUCqjZfWA">over 117,000 gas stations</a>, <a href="http://www.google.com/url?q=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.bts.gov%2Fpublications%2Fnational_transportation_statistics%2Fhtml%2Ftable_01_11.html&amp;sa=D&amp;sntz=1&amp;usg=AFQjCNE0_i7XmFZn7xTlxE7xgFriySYJyg">250M cars in the US</a>) that would need to be somehow transitioned onto a different fuel, there are limits to potential alternative technology. There are four major alternatives to gasoline as energy storage (or fuel): ethanol, hydrogen, electric batteries and synthetic fuels. Out of those, the only one that exists on a comparative scale to the gasoline economy currently is ethanol, and even that difference is huge (10% of gasoline). In the near future, ethanol seems to be the only feasible option, although there are multiple ways in which it can be produced. Batteries are much less energy dense, so for the same amount of fuel require both more space and weight in a car, and also take longer to recharge than it does to fuel a car (the <a href="http://www.google.com/url?q=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.nissanusa.com%2Fleaf-electric-car%2Findex%23%2Fleaf-electric-car%2Ffaq%2Flist%2Fcharging&amp;sa=D&amp;sntz=1&amp;usg=AFQjCNGk4JZAViDio4uRXZajM3NkWKd82g">Nissan Leaf batteries take 30 minutes for 80% charge</a>). Hydrogen suffers from a complex storage mechanism, and like batteries, requires completely different transportation infrastructure than is currently available. Synthetic fuels have been developed for military and experimental purposes, but are currently deemed to expensive for production on the regular market on a large scale. Overall, the US fossil fuel economy is changing, and the increasing price of crude is making other options, both in terms of fossil fuels and alternatives seem more economical.</p>
<h3><a name="Car_Love_Gas"></a>Cars Love Gasoline</h3>
<p><a style="display:none;" id="ddetlink224149054" href="javascript:expand(document.getElementById('ddet224149054'))"> <strong><span style="color: #3366ff;">Click to Expand </span></strong></a>
<div class="ddet_div" id="ddet224149054"><script language="JavaScript" type="text/javascript">expand(document.getElementById('ddet224149054'));expand(document.getElementById('ddetlink224149054'))</script>
The consumption of petroleum reached <a href="http://www.google.com/url?q=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.eia.doe.gov%2Fenergyexplained%2Findex.cfm%3Fpage%3Dgasoline_use&amp;sa=D&amp;sntz=1&amp;usg=AFQjCNHJ1vnV8YhxsHtvJ8Gpj0xNJsgCyQ">19 million barrels per day in 2009</a>. That is equivalent to roughly 1.8 gallons per person per day spent on transportation (70% of total petroleum use). Just for comparison, that is almost 40 times the amount of milk per person per day consumed in the US (<a href="http://www.google.com/url?q=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.ars.usda.gov%2FSP2UserFiles%2FPlace%2F12355000%2Fpdf%2FDBrief%2Ffluid_milk_0506.pdf&amp;sa=D&amp;sntz=1&amp;usg=AFQjCNF5qN9EztW3VVgH38S03tkbceQI7w">3/4 of a cup in 2006</a>). Over <a href="http://www.google.com/url?q=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.eia.doe.gov%2Fenergy_in_brief%2Fforeign_oil_dependence.cfm&amp;sa=D&amp;sntz=1&amp;usg=AFQjCNHXomI_4H5uXXZB-202_9WA5CgDDg">50% of that oil in 2009 was imported</a>, and on net imports the US spent over $194 billion on importing crude oil in 2009, <a href="http://www.google.com/url?q=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.eia.gov%2Fdnav%2Fpet%2Fpet_cons_psup_dc_nus_mbbl_a.htm&amp;sa=D&amp;sntz=1&amp;usg=AFQjCNG5Qlb8a0X4jEOaNWLABxV7d61SIw">50% of which goes into production of reformulated motor oil</a>, or the gasoline that we regularly put into our car (The rest goes mostly into diesel and jet fuel, but there is also LPG, propylene and various other products.). Since President Nixon and the oil embargo of 1973, every president has had a plan to reduce the US dependence on foreign oil, and despite that the US dependence on foreign oil has grown from <a href="http://www.google.com/url?q=http%3A%2F%2Fboingboing.net%2F2010%2F05%2F11%2Fuss-growing-dependen.html&amp;sa=D&amp;sntz=1&amp;usg=AFQjCNEixkIDsKgKujTZWOehM3yOydH83w">20% in 1974 to over 57% in 2008</a>. President Ford increased the fee on imported crude in order to cut imports, and proposed developing synthetic fuels. <a href="http://www.google.com/url?q=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.nhtsa.gov%2Fcars%2Frules%2Fcafe%2Foverview.htm&amp;sa=D&amp;sntz=1&amp;usg=AFQjCNEJhXtygpjb6u_m3FaYDoo82Xp5vw">CAFE standards</a> were also developed during his administration. President Carter set the federal speed limit to 65 (<a href="http://www.google.com/url?q=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.presidency.ucsb.edu%2Fws%2Findex.php%3Fpid%3D8017&amp;sa=D&amp;sntz=1&amp;usg=AFQjCNF8qpJGyL7OjwHwqyuLmtOn1nKIuA">though he really wanted 55</a>) MPH, effectively punishing people for driving inefficiently, as well as<a href="http://www.google.com/url?q=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.pbs.org%2Fwgbh%2Famex%2Fcarter%2Ffilmmore%2Fps_energy.html&amp;sa=D&amp;sntz=1&amp;usg=AFQjCNHzBWaiXw7USwt9eZDwyOCmssnEUw"> developed the Department of Energy</a>. President Bush introduced <a href="http://www.google.com/url?q=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.washingtonpost.com%2Fwp-dyn%2Fcontent%2Farticle%2F2007%2F01%2F24%2FAR2007012401869.html&amp;sa=D&amp;sntz=1&amp;usg=AFQjCNFvWS_jmTIbCflKDWinKbXegKivcw">subsidies for ethanol production</a> and facilitating opening up new oil reserves for drilling, mostly in <a href="http://www.google.com/url?q=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.washingtonpost.com%2Fwp-dyn%2Farticles%2FA21695-2005Mar9.html&amp;sa=D&amp;sntz=1&amp;usg=AFQjCNHce6bYnpyYKI0LxVraFz23bEOBKw">Alaska</a> and the <a href="http://www.google.com/url?q=http%3A%2F%2Ffrwebgate.access.gpo.gov%2Fcgi-bin%2Fgetdoc.cgi%3Fdbname%3D109_cong_bills%26docid%3Df%3Ah6enr.txt.pdf&amp;sa=D&amp;sntz=1&amp;usg=AFQjCNEvdeXplxXWMZXzmefFA5Cm6XvuQQ">Gulf of Mexico</a>.</p>
<p>The main cause of our dependence on petroleum is such a combination of transport ease (using pipelines) and compactness of fuel, which is measured through the concept of energy density, the amount of energy per weight or volume. The <a href="http://www.google.com/url?q=http%3A%2F%2Fphysics.info%2Fenergy-chemical%2F&amp;sa=D&amp;sntz=1&amp;usg=AFQjCNEAruZEvACuCuH8YVF0nVfJWXcj7Q">energy density of gasoline</a> is 46.4 MJ/kg, which is very high compared to even the most efficient lithium battery, currently at 6 MJ/kg. Using hydrogen would be fantastic as it’s energy density is almost 3 times that of gasoline, but storage and transportation of the fuel is still an open question, since we are talking about a gas that binds through everything over time, making any container brittle. The most energy dense fuels are radioactive components, such as those use in nuclear fission which can reach <a href="http://www.google.com/url?q=http%3A%2F%2Fnuclearfissionary.com%2F2010%2F06%2F09%2Fenergy-density-and-waste-comparison-of-energy-production%2F&amp;sa=D&amp;sntz=1&amp;usg=AFQjCNEtjUaM_RsJEWsVFt5HLu0_UrO1jg">3.5 TJ/kg in a commercial reactor</a>, but we still haven’t realized how to reasonably put one into a vehicle beyond the <a href="http://www.google.com/url?q=http%3A%2F%2Fmedia.ford.com%2Farticle_display.cfm%3Farticle_id%3D3359&amp;sa=D&amp;sntz=1&amp;usg=AFQjCNFUh4ybbWBGes002pgzm5Siogj8LQ">Ford Nucleon</a>.</p>
<p>During the latter part of industrial revolution, when most our energy systems were set up, for some of the US crude oil was <a href="http://news.google.com/newspapers?id=NEQdAAAAIBAJ&amp;sjid=6VMEAAAAIBAJ&amp;pg=2641,5013323&amp;dq=gasoline+cheaper+than+water&amp;hl=en">cheaper than clean water, gallon to gallon</a>. Originally, gasoline was an unwanted byproduct of production of kerosene, <a href="http://www.google.com/url?q=http%3A%2F%2Fblogs.forbes.com%2Fwarrenmeyer%2F2010%2F11%2F05%2Fthe-man-who-saved-the-whales%2F&amp;sa=D&amp;sntz=1&amp;usg=AFQjCNGyV1RHn3JEgwlKrthZDN6frlos1A">which replaced whale oil in the 19th century</a> as the chief source of energy for lighting. The car was invented to take use of this cheap and plentiful fuel. The massive expansion of the gasoline power transportation that occurred in the 120 years since the Otto engine had been invented is a testament to the power of cheap energy. But our production hasn’t kept in step with consumption, and  has been shrinking since the 60s, due to production limitations and dwindling reserves.<br />
</div></p>
<h3>Efficiency: Further on Less</h3>
<p><a style="display:none;" id="ddetlink1538583991" href="javascript:expand(document.getElementById('ddet1538583991'))"> <strong><span style="color: #3366ff;">Click to Expand </span></strong></a>
<div class="ddet_div" id="ddet1538583991"><script language="JavaScript" type="text/javascript">expand(document.getElementById('ddet1538583991'));expand(document.getElementById('ddetlink1538583991'))</script>
In order to decrease use of gasoline, or attempt to level it off, various initiatives focused on energy efficiency have been developed since the 70s. Cars have been designed with lighter materials, with more energy efficient engines and components and with aerodynamics in mind, aided by government mandates in the form of the Corporate Average Fuel Economy (CAFE) standards, all of which resulted in the average fuel efficiency rose from around <a href="http://www.google.com/url?q=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.dieselnet.com%2Fstandards%2Fus%2Ffe.php&amp;sa=D&amp;sntz=1&amp;usg=AFQjCNFvPdRJHQnWrm7rsArQ0vsuldcphA">18MPG before 1970 to over 27MPG today</a>, with <a href="http://www.google.com/url?q=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.washingtonpost.com%2Fwp-dyn%2Fcontent%2Farticle%2F2010%2F04%2F01%2FAR2010040101412.html&amp;sa=D&amp;sntz=1&amp;usg=AFQjCNHP1buD4YQzatyb_9pCmyCJyXwkqQ">plans for going up to 35.5MPG by 2016</a>. Other US government mandates include the <a href="http://www.google.com/url?q=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.epa.gov%2Ffueleconomy%2Fguzzler%2Findex.htm&amp;sa=D&amp;sntz=1&amp;usg=AFQjCNGXYrsymCsuC49OpqCORLAd2vYJow">Gas Guzzler tax</a> and mandating fuel economy be stated on every new car being sold, verified through the EPA. So, while our cars today are about twice as efficient as 40 years ago, this has not kept up with demand for gasoline (or demand for large cars), and while it has certainly slowed the rate of expansion, it has left us with growing demand for gasoline, and need to consider potential alternatives.<br />
</div></p>
<h3>Replacing gasoline</h3>
<p><a style="display:none;" id="ddetlink1276244053" href="javascript:expand(document.getElementById('ddet1276244053'))"> <strong>Click to Expand </strong></a>
<div class="ddet_div" id="ddet1276244053"><script language="JavaScript" type="text/javascript">expand(document.getElementById('ddet1276244053'));expand(document.getElementById('ddetlink1276244053'))</script>
The development of gasoline as such a major part of our energy economy  makes replacing it with anything hard. We require a similarly energy  dense fuel, also liquid with similar chemical properties, but hopefully  less polluting and available for domestic production. The only substance  today that comes close is ethanol. But ethanol has a major drawback &#8211;  it is a simpler chemical compound, with energy density of 24 MJ/L  compared to gasoline’s 34.2 MJ/L. The practical application is while  once car run most cars on 85% ethanol with some modification (which is  currently all but impossible given the costs of <a href="http://www.google.com/url?q=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.epa.gov%2Foms%2Fconsumer%2Fb00003.pdf&amp;sa=D&amp;sntz=1&amp;usg=AFQjCNHFwg2PtCc8eJI4H37JbJ52wpjmaQ">aftermarket re-certification through the EPA</a>),  but if you filled up your tank with pure ethanol, you could only get  70% of the energy from ethanol that you would from gasoline. Meaning, on  average, people would need to pump gasoline more often and use more of  it for the same level of driving. However, ethanol can be made out of  almost any carbohydrate or cellulose rich biomass, and as such has great  appeal to a country with great amounts of arable land, such as the US.</p>
<p>Currently, almost all gasoline in the US is actually gasohol &#8211; 90%  gasoline, 10% ethanol. That 10% of current use means that we produce  around <a href="http://www.google.com/url?q=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.eia.doe.gov%2Femeu%2Fsteo%2Fpub%2Fcontents.html%23US_Crude_Oil_And_Liquid_Fuels&amp;sa=D&amp;sntz=1&amp;usg=AFQjCNFAhsxwQq1NGoGpzguVWhTak8697A">13 billion barrels a year of ethanol currently</a>.  95% of that ethanol is currently produced from corn, as corn is one the  most abundant and cheapest sources of carbohydrates currently  available. The US currently produces two fifths of the worlds corn,  over <a href="http://www.google.com/url?q=http%3A%2F%2Ffaostat.fao.org%2Fsite%2F567%2FDesktopDefault.aspx%3FPageID%3D567%23ancor&amp;sa=D&amp;sntz=1&amp;usg=AFQjCNEAYBemhxq2eHnlJ20PEsmfgB1Nig">333 million tons every yea</a>r. Yet, at 10% of our gasoline needs we are consuming over <a href="http://www.google.com/url?q=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.reuters.com%2Farticle%2FidUSN1149215820070611&amp;sa=D&amp;sntz=1&amp;usg=AFQjCNF66bSYdoyvTLykxhx8bfwV5Q-4Ww">30% of the US corn crop</a>. The current area in the US under production of corn is <a href="http://www.google.com/url?q=http%3A%2F%2Fusda.mannlib.cornell.edu%2Fusda%2Fcurrent%2FAcre%2FAcre-06-30-2010.txt&amp;sa=D&amp;sntz=1&amp;usg=AFQjCNGx15j3GQe3t30rR8TbeCfNgEk4EQ">88 Million acres</a>.  Ignoring slight differences between kinds of corn crop, that means that  about 26 Million acres of US land are used to grow 10% of our need for  gasoline. That is roughly an area of the size of Ohio that we are  currently using to grow corn for ethanol. Corn ethanol, by itself, is  not enough to substitute gasoline as transportation fuel. We would need  to triple the current US yield of corn (effectively producing more than  the entire world does now) which would require an area one and half  times the size of Texas (and only slightly smaller than Alaska) to have  enough corn to produce on the level we are producing gasoline. Demand  for ethanol from corn has also raised fuel prices and is partially to  blame for the rise in food prices (especially meat) over the last  decade. Thus, other sources of ethanol need to be considered beyond  corn.</p>
<p>On an economic note, the refinement of crude oil into gasoline results in <a href="http://www.learner.org/courses/envsci/visual/visual.php?shortname=crude_oil">a myriad of by-products</a>, some of which are crucial petrochemical feedstocks, integral components of lubricants, plastics, fertilizers, and others. These products not only make refinement more economically attractive, but allow for diversification of income and insulation against demand shocks of single products. Until industries such as biofuel refining can produce similarly useful and marketable by-products, they will remain to be less economically attractive than gasoline.<br />
</div></p>
<h3><a name="Boom"></a>The gaseous BOOM</h3>
<p><a style="display:none;" id="ddetlink1518067543" href="javascript:expand(document.getElementById('ddet1518067543'))"> <strong><span style="color: #3366ff;">Click to Expand </span></strong></a>
<div class="ddet_div" id="ddet1518067543"><script language="JavaScript" type="text/javascript">expand(document.getElementById('ddet1518067543'));expand(document.getElementById('ddetlink1518067543'))</script>
Natural gas has been considered as vehicle fuel in two forms &#8211; compressed and liquefied - <a href="http://www.google.com/url?q=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.fueleconomy.gov%2Ffeg%2Fbyfueltype.htm&amp;sa=D&amp;sntz=1&amp;usg=AFQjCNEK-nIqMEDSCo7xrBU-yC23bXQrDw">since at least the 90s in the US.</a> Natural gas has <a href="http://www.google.com/url?q=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.fueleconomy.gov%2Ffeg%2Fbifueltech.shtml&amp;sa=D&amp;sntz=1&amp;usg=AFQjCNEjKuGYArxIZiu4Z9uhDuRSBt4OEA">40% less greenhouse gas emissions</a> and even fewer pollutants for the same energy gain when compared to conventional gasoline. However, concerns about the coupled nature of the prices of gas and oil seemed to forecast the same future for natural gas as for gasoline. Recent innovation in <a href="http://www.google.com/url?q=http%3A%2F%2Fwater.epa.gov%2Ftype%2Fgroundwater%2Fuic%2Fclass2%2Fhydraulicfracturing%2Fwells_hydrowhat.cfm&amp;sa=D&amp;sntz=1&amp;usg=AFQjCNG637MHDsCiQ5zjfblAY123hXQQGw">hydraulic fracturing</a> (know colloquially as “fracking”), <a href="http://www.google.com/url?q=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.naturalgas.org%2Fnaturalgas%2Fextraction_directional.asp&amp;sa=D&amp;sntz=1&amp;usg=AFQjCNE-vwGXMiW0J0zZhCCioi9nfbZeNQ">horizontal drilling </a>and new shale gas fields in the US have increased domestic production, reducing need for imports and served to decouple the price of gas from the price of petroleum. This has served to increase interest in natural gas as an alternative to other fossil fuels. Stable prices are causing natural gas to gain incremental competitive advantage over coal as <a href="http://www.google.com/url?q=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.nytimes.com%2F2010%2F11%2F30%2Fbusiness%2Fenergy-environment%2F30utilities.html&amp;sa=D&amp;sntz=1&amp;usg=AFQjCNEjNpDbq5raKszji2rvCaiI_coZlw">fuel for the next generation of power plants</a>. Natural gas does suffer from the same disadvantage as many other alternatives &#8211; it is mostly incompatible with the current infrastructure for vehicle fuel, requiring different fuel pumps, different standards and changes to the design of the vehicle. Currently there is only <a href="http://www.google.com/url?q=http%3A%2F%2Fautomobiles.honda.com%2Fcivic-gx%2F&amp;sa=D&amp;sntz=1&amp;usg=AFQjCNFzsSbmNYNFJ4OnhyKqbD9sriPNfg">one vehicle on the market</a> made in 2011 that can use natural gas. While the new discoveries will make natural gas more attractive, it remains to be seen how wide spread the adoption will be. &#8220;Fracking&#8221; also has potential environmental drawbacks in the form of <a href="http://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2011/03/01/us/chemicals-and-toxic-materials-in-hydrofracking.html?ref=drillingdown">chemicals used to fracture the rock</a>, and the radioactive materials trapped in the shale along with the methane, which could, once released, <a href="http://www.nytimes.com/2011/02/27/us/27gas.html">seep into groundwater</a>.<br />
</div></p>
<p><a name="Synth"></a></p>
<h3>Synth-fuels: A rose by any other name?</h3>
<p><a style="display:none;" id="ddetlink1010819868" href="javascript:expand(document.getElementById('ddet1010819868'))"> <strong><span style="color: #3366ff;">Click to Expand </span></strong></a>
<div class="ddet_div" id="ddet1010819868"><script language="JavaScript" type="text/javascript">expand(document.getElementById('ddet1010819868'));expand(document.getElementById('ddetlink1010819868'))</script>
Another option is to create synthetic fuels, which are liquid fuels created from other fuel sources such as coal liquefaction or gas liquefaction &#8211; both of which are conversion from one fossil fuel to another (thus not solving the greenhouse gas issue) and they require extra energy to create, or create fuels completely from basic components using a variety of chemical and biological processes. Using coal (which is abundant in the US) we can expand our reserves of gasoline, but at a larger energy cost with potentially even more environmental impact, as coal contains more impurities than crude that have to be disposed of in refining. Synthetic fuels processes <a href="http://www.google.com/url?q=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.airpower.maxwell.af.mil%2Fairchronicles%2Faureview%2F1981%2Fjul-aug%2Fbecker.htm&amp;sa=D&amp;sntz=1&amp;usg=AFQjCNHCueQFiqdWxlNz_KwtYqrn75I2vw">have existed since the 1920s</a>, but have not been developed into a major fuel resource due to their energy cost and lack of concern for the unavailability of other specific fossil fuels. Canadian Oil sands (tar sands, oil shale, officially known as bituminous sands) <a href="http://www.google.com/url?q=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.energybulletin.net%2Fnode%2F7331&amp;sa=D&amp;sntz=1&amp;usg=AFQjCNE98OgUBu9uMs7_opCE8G4aZddSiA">are today converted into crude oil</a> with processes developed through fuel synthesis. Canada is the <a href="http://www.google.com/url?q=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.eia.doe.gov%2Fenergy_in_brief%2Fforeign_oil_dependence.cfm&amp;sa=D&amp;sntz=1&amp;usg=AFQjCNHXomI_4H5uXXZB-202_9WA5CgDDg">largest single supplier of crude to the US (20%)</a>, and almost half of that oil comes from tar sands. Thus tar sands represent about  6% of the total US consumption of crude, from a partially synthesized product. But while it is an addition to fuel sources for gasoline, it is not necessarily an alternative, and suffers from the same issues of pollution, climate change and eventual resource depletion, and <a href="http://www.google.com/url?q=http%3A%2F%2Fngm.nationalgeographic.com%2F2009%2F03%2Fcanadian-oil-sands%2Fkunzig-text&amp;sa=D&amp;sntz=1&amp;usg=AFQjCNHDbClIIBi8JLc03IphB3mL8h6Img">potentially worse environmental degradation than coal mining</a>. To avoid using more fossil fuels, we have to use less energy in cars or use a different energy source &#8211; such as ethanol, fuel cells or batteries.<br />
</div></p>
<h3>Delicious sugary ethanol</h3>
<p><a style="display:none;" id="ddetlink1212698814" href="javascript:expand(document.getElementById('ddet1212698814'))"> <strong><span style="color: #3366ff;">Click to Expand </span></strong></a>
<div class="ddet_div" id="ddet1212698814"><script language="JavaScript" type="text/javascript">expand(document.getElementById('ddet1212698814'));expand(document.getElementById('ddetlink1212698814'))</script>
Despite the US focus on corn, the second largest producer of ethanol in the world is Brazil, which sources it strictly out of sugarcane. Sugarcane ethanol has about twice the yield of ethanol from feedstock per hectare when compared to corn. <a href="http://www.google.com/url?q=http%3A%2F%2Fen.wikipedia.org%2Fwiki%2FEthanol_fuel_in_the_United_States%23Comparison_with_Brazilian_ethanol&amp;sa=D&amp;sntz=1&amp;usg=AFQjCNHRpBCJvbdmzKKys8Oy8N9sd4E7Uw">Comparing the US &amp; Brazil</a>, input energy productivity (ratio of energy gained from energy used) for sugarcane is about 8 to 10 (this holds true only for Brazil, which has amazing conditions for sugarcane), whereas for corn ethanol it is about 1.3 &#8211; 1.6. Due to both of these factors, the greenhouse gas emissions reductions are roughly 86-90% of gasoline for sugarcane ethanol vs. 10 &#8211; 30% for corn ethanol. Other sources used for sugar ethanol are beets and molasses. While developing in the US, especially in the traditional sugarcane regions such as Louisiana, one of the reasons of the dominance for corn in the US are ethanol subsidies (<a href="http://www.google.com/url?q=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.cbo.gov%2Fdoc.cfm%3Findex%3D11477&amp;sa=D&amp;sntz=1&amp;usg=AFQjCNFAeg7w1W4eHFbkkCUpLrHARkpC7w">currently at $.45 per gallon of ethanol produced from corn</a>), and various other subsidies for corn production in general. Another reason is that the price of sugar that can be produced from the same sugarcane as ethanol is higher than the price of the ethanol. While growing, sugar-based ethanol is imported from Brazil and the Caribbean <a href="http://www.google.com/url?q=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.platts.com%2Fweblog%2Foilblog%2F2009%2F06%2F25%2Fevaporating_us_eth.html&amp;sa=D&amp;sntz=1&amp;usg=AFQjCNHdr3XUYfw6gaWK_QdU3XtWWJz3UQ">(despite the tariff on imported sugarcane ethanol from Brazil</a>) to the tune of only 2% of total demand. The production of sugar-based ethanol is less than 2% of the total production of ethanol in the US. However, given the <a href="http://www.google.com/url?q=http%3A%2F%2Fbrown-waite.house.gov%2FUploadedFiles%2FCRS%2520Report%2520on%2520Ethanol%2520Imports.pdf&amp;sa=D&amp;sntz=1&amp;usg=AFQjCNELYWtKfGzRm3TiaZIO3ovnIsSWeA">potential for growth in the Caribbean</a>, sugarcane products might see a resurgence in the region as ethanol.<br />
</div><br />
<a name="EthanolTrees"></a></p>
<h3>The Giving (Ethanol) Tree</h3>
<p><a style="display:none;" id="ddetlink981816783" href="javascript:expand(document.getElementById('ddet981816783'))"> <strong><span style="color: #3366ff;">Click to Expand </span></strong></a>
<div class="ddet_div" id="ddet981816783"><script language="JavaScript" type="text/javascript">expand(document.getElementById('ddet981816783'));expand(document.getElementById('ddetlink981816783'))</script>
Cellulosic ethanol refers to any ethanol that is produce from the cellulose membrane of the plant. There is a chemical (enzymatic) and biological (bacterial) ways of decomposing the cellulose and creating ethanol from it. This differs substantially from corn or sugar ethanol as the process can be used on new whole plants (corn, soy, wheat silage), non-edible parts of plants (corn and sugarcane bagasse), plant waste (wood-chips, lawn and tree clippings) and even trees (poplar trees) or algae. Other than starch/sugar content of plants, it covers most other ways to convert biomass into ethanol. These processes are less commercially available currently, and some of them have not been piloted yet, but there is a lot of academic work in the field. Several projects at Argonne National Labs are engaged in using switchgrass and poplar trees for the dual purpose of <a href="http://www.google.com/url?q=http%3A%2F%2Fweb.ead.anl.gov%2Fphyto%2F&amp;sa=D&amp;sntz=1&amp;usg=AFQjCNFceik1yFTgWJ9Bdo9c26DdWJk63A">phytoremediation</a> (removing toxins and metals from the soil using plants) and biomass growth for biofuels. Other projects at Argonne, such as the <a href="http://www.google.com/url?q=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.anl.gov%2Fcatalysis-science%2Findex.html&amp;sa=D&amp;sntz=1&amp;usg=AFQjCNEWaVtO6hvCldSIiLbxympoBXcI7g">Institute for Atom-Efficient Chemical Transformations (IACT)</a> are working on better and more efficient methods at producing ethanol from various feedstocks using enzymes and catalytics. These are some of many initiatives around the world furthering the knowledge and expertise necessary to build better fuels. While all of that is promising, in the world of ethanol, even if we use perfect other processes and use better feedstocks, the short-term future indicates that <a href="http://www.google.com/url?q=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.nytimes.com%2F2009%2F05%2F27%2Fbusiness%2Fenergy-environment%2F27biofuels.html%3F_r%3D2%26ref%3Dearth%26pagewanted%3Dall&amp;sa=D&amp;sntz=1&amp;usg=AFQjCNHsJr1DiCosXBQbyj-NW2oW2LoizQ">Corn is King</a>. But even then, ethanol is far from an ideal replacement for gasoline.</p>
<p>There are still several issues with ethanol replacing gasoline; it is only 70% as energy dense, it requires retrofitting vehicles to use more than 30% of it in blended fuel (<a href="http://www.google.com/url?q=http%3A%2F%2Fshop.ebay.com%2Fitems%2F%3F_nkw%3Dconversion%2Bkit%2Be85%26_sacat%3D%26_ex_kw%3D%26_mPrRngCbx%3D1%26_udlo%3D%26_udhi%3D%26_sop%3D%26_fpos%3D%26_fspt%3D1%26_sadis%3D%26LH_CAds%3D%26satitle%3Dconversion%2Bkit%2Be85&amp;sa=D&amp;sntz=1&amp;usg=AFQjCNFMxE6dfr6r77m7LIAegf9l2X-hXA">costing on average less than $500 per vehicle</a>), and the current pipeline infrastructure needs to be adjusted to carry it. The biomass itself is expensive to transport (due to the weight of water in it), and unlike crude, it doesn’t have the same value-adding byproducts that make refining crude such a lucrative proposition. We also don’t know enough about long-term effects on using ethanol in regular engines, and what additional costs or benefits it might carry due to the difference in chemical composition. Finally, in the short term period of transition, each gas station would need to add another tank an pump that would carry the ethanol fuel, to <a href="http://www.google.com/url?q=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.businessweek.com%2Fmagazine%2Fcontent%2F07_40%2Fb4052052.htm&amp;sa=D&amp;sntz=1&amp;usg=AFQjCNGuvH21mh-DW1u-S5b457-Kjsdo6A">a cost of about $200,000 per gas station</a>. Retrofitting half of the cars in the US and half of the gas stations would cost $90 billion (125M cars, 100k gas stations), or roughly half of what we currently spend on oil imports. Which forces us to look at further alternatives to gasoline, currently: fuel cells and electric cars.<br />
</div><br />
<a name="Lighter_than_Air"></a></p>
<h3>Lighter than air, further away than fusion?</h3>
<p><a style="display:none;" id="ddetlink918948484" href="javascript:expand(document.getElementById('ddet918948484'))"> <strong><span style="color: #3366ff;">Click to Expand </span></strong></a>
<div class="ddet_div" id="ddet918948484"><script language="JavaScript" type="text/javascript">expand(document.getElementById('ddet918948484'));expand(document.getElementById('ddetlink918948484'))</script>
While there are <a href="http://www.google.com/url?q=http%3A%2F%2Fwww1.eere.energy.gov%2Fhydrogenandfuelcells%2Ffuelcells%2Fpdfs%2Ffc_comparison_chart.pdf&amp;sa=D&amp;sntz=1&amp;usg=AFQjCNH6a0fu_U6Z7VlROxqLpv9ThWS4OQ">varied potential fuel cell technologies</a> employing a <a href="http://www.google.com/url?q=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.fctec.com%2Ffctec_types.asp&amp;sa=D&amp;sntz=1&amp;usg=AFQjCNGI5BVjlA2Kcp23LAQPQM9IzpMr5w">wide variety of fuel</a> including methanol and ethanol, alkaline solutions and polymer membranes, hydrogen has been touted as the most efficient and cheapest method to use. Hydrogen in a wonderfully energy dense fuel, and using it in fuel cells to create electricity for cars bypasses Carnot limits (which limit the regular Otto engine to maximum of 50% efficiency). Electricity gained there can be used to power very efficient, quiet and sustainable vehicles, with the only emission a steady drip of water. Because of no moving parts or combustion, <a href="http://www.google.com/url?q=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.nfcrc.uci.edu%2F2%2FFUEL_CELL_INFORMATION%2FFCexplained%2FFC_benefits.aspx&amp;sa=D&amp;sntz=1&amp;usg=AFQjCNHk7j9sb-EpUT7gM8nZ0wrEA3eGnw">fuel cells can ideally be extremely reliable</a>. However, hydrogen is very expensive to store, and makes every container brittle over time. As it boils at -280 degrees centigrade, requires energy to be reduced to and kept at that extremely low temperature or under very high pressure to achieve the liquid form. It is also not readily available in nature, and requires either electricity and water, or fossil fuels to generate, and thus is energy costly to produce, and thus doesn’t resolve some of the issues that exist with regular gasoline in the first place, as we must use energy derived from fossil fuels to produce it. If there could be an economical way to produce, store and transport hydrogen, it would take off as the main fuel of the US economy, but as off yet, that hasn’t occurred despite efforts in California, S. Carolina and internationally, most notably Japan. In <a href="http://www.google.com/url?q=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.scientificamerican.com%2Fblog%2Fpost.cfm%3Fid%3Drip-hydrogen-economy-obama-cuts-hyd-2009-05-08&amp;sa=D&amp;sntz=1&amp;usg=AFQjCNFDFBiG08Ydi0wYE7lblruIaimFzg">2009 President Obama cut off hydrogen fuel cell funding</a> from the federal budget, as other projects were deemed likely to have a faster impact on the market, and hydrogen to be “10 to 20 years out”.<br />
</div><br />
<a name="CarBuzz"></a></p>
<h3>Cars with a buzz</h3>
<p><a style="display:none;" id="ddetlink269858890" href="javascript:expand(document.getElementById('ddet269858890'))"> <strong><span style="color: #3366ff;">Click to Expand </span></strong></a>
<div class="ddet_div" id="ddet269858890"><script language="JavaScript" type="text/javascript">expand(document.getElementById('ddet269858890'));expand(document.getElementById('ddetlink269858890'))</script>
Electric cars actually predate the gasoline cars, but due to availability of gasoline as cheap fuel haven’t been developed in the same way <a href="http://www.google.com/url?q=http%3A%2F%2Finventors.about.com%2Flibrary%2Fweekly%2Faacarselectrica.htm&amp;sa=D&amp;sntz=1&amp;usg=AFQjCNE7VHay8ZWP7a6_ulUkL5Bs7tqjUw">over the last 150 years</a>. Lately, however, needs for greater efficiencies and desire to overcome Carnot limits have resulted in a renewed pursuit of electric technologies in cars. The first generation of hybrid cars, using breaking and cruising speed to recharge batteries used in low speed acceleration, are a welcome addition to the market for those that wanted greater efficiency without sacrificing features or design, and will likely be implemented in all cars by over the next decade. However, pure electric vehicles (without a gasoline engine) have 2 major drawbacks. Firstly, energy storage in either fuel cells or batteries is currently neither economical nor practical (either expensive or weights too much), but it is none-the-less being developed by <a href="http://www.google.com/url?q=http%3A%2F%2Fapps1.eere.energy.gov%2Fnews%2Fnews_detail.cfm%2Fnews_id%3D12178&amp;sa=D&amp;sntz=1&amp;usg=AFQjCNGWIUE1FaffEfHxHg5btpt9z4luLA">several major</a> (<a href="http://www.google.com/url?q=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.gemcar.com%2Fdefault.asp&amp;sa=D&amp;sntz=1&amp;usg=AFQjCNHpXdEGrb66Tp2qcVwxxr4Le8bYRQ">Chrysler</a>, <a href="http://www.google.com/url?q=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.fordvehicles.com%2Ftechnology%2Felectric%2F&amp;sa=D&amp;sntz=1&amp;usg=AFQjCNExlPCCaVycNQhf6OPSvoI9Xx3x6Q">Ford</a>, <a href="http://www.google.com/url?q=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.gm.com%2Fvehicles%2Fhybrids-and-electric%2Felectric%2F&amp;sa=D&amp;sntz=1&amp;usg=AFQjCNEuLfg-SymAiV5Ah1n6CpgcZd0tBQ">GM</a>, <a href="http://www.google.com/url?q=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.emercedesbenz.com%2Fautos%2Fmercedes-benz%2Fcorporate-news%2Fdaimler-ag-and-byd-company-limited-to-develop-electric-vehicle-for-china%2F&amp;sa=D&amp;sntz=1&amp;usg=AFQjCNHo992P5OqoNREBgdtOD5nrm16euQ">Daimler AG</a>,<a href="http://www.google.com/url?q=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.peugeot.co.uk%2Fvehicles%2Fpeugeot-car-range%2Fpeugeot-ion%2F&amp;sa=D&amp;sntz=1&amp;usg=AFQjCNH2qioAMLKxXQQQx5gWGUXWUpG6VQ"> Peugot-Citroen</a>, <a href="http://www.google.com/url?q=http%3A%2F%2Fautonews.gasgoo.com%2Fchina-news%2Fvw-plans-electric-vehicle-production-in-china-afte-101116.shtml&amp;sa=D&amp;sntz=1&amp;usg=AFQjCNH7VC40u6tDJmaQrosbpWUywN_r3A">VW</a>, <a href="http://www.google.com/url?q=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.toyota.com%2Fprius-hybrid%2F&amp;sa=D&amp;sntz=1&amp;usg=AFQjCNGfT_bjLn_7CP7_i94Og0UQz0ZEwA">Toyota</a>, <a href="http://www.google.com/url?q=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.mitsubishi-motors.com%2Fspecial%2Fev%2F&amp;sa=D&amp;sntz=1&amp;usg=AFQjCNHSU1VXFG-SPQ0nE_xhTiQnrx296w">Mitsubishi</a>, etc.) and minor companies (domestic examples are <a href="http://www.google.com/url?q=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.teslamotors.com%2F&amp;sa=D&amp;sntz=1&amp;usg=AFQjCNGb6AQuznXm5AGy_cl5hxpLKEr8dQ">Tesla</a> and <a href="http://www.google.com/url?q=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.zapworld.com%2F&amp;sa=D&amp;sntz=1&amp;usg=AFQjCNG1LNwWZZ2F1nFE_jFhim_CkR2dlw">Zap</a>). Secondly, unless using own generation means, consumers would use electricity from the grid, and add on to the base-load electricity demand, which is currently produced by coal, nuclear and natural gas. An electric car today is just a vehicle with an external fossil fuel combustion engine.<br />
</div></p>
<h3><a name="Future"></a><br />
So, what is the future?</h3>
<p>Ethanol is not without its own economic, agricultural and environmental impacts, and in the long run we shall hopefully see other types of fuel developed as well, or use less impactful feedstocks, creating greater efficiency than currently available with corn. Greater knowledge of catalytics could improve processes and broaden the range of feed-stocks by which we obtain ethanol, as well as creating beneficial byproducts. Better battery technology would mean more efficient hybrids and less gasoline demand. Laterally disruptive technologies &#8211; such as more efficient and wide spread network of trains and rail, better commuter public transportation could reduce demand for fuel if they are economically attractive to the consumers. In the very long term, we might even want to re-examine the way cities are designed, how we travel, why we travel and how we transport goods and services in this country. But in the short term, we still need liquid fuels, and ethanol is currently the only marketable substitute, but that doesn’t mean that we are short on possible alternatives. The future, as always, looks very interesting, indeed.</p>
</div>
]]></content:encoded>
			<wfw:commentRss>http://c2st.org/policy-perspectives/the-future-of-fuels/feed</wfw:commentRss>
		<slash:comments>0</slash:comments>
		</item>
		<item>
		<title>Notes on Women in Science</title>
		<link>http://c2st.org/policy-perspectives/policy-perspectives-notes-on-women-in-science</link>
		<comments>http://c2st.org/policy-perspectives/policy-perspectives-notes-on-women-in-science#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 15 Mar 2010 20:53:32 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Jillian</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Policy Perspectives]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[gender differences]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[women in science]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://c2st.org/?p=2233</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[The low number of women in science careers has historically been a problem that remains pervasive today.  Women still hold proportionally low academic science positions compared to ]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a href="http://c2st.org/wp-content/uploads/2010/01/Final-WIS-logo.jpg" rel="shadowbox[sbpost-2233];player=img;"><img class="alignnone size-full wp-image-1712" title="Final WIS logo" src="http://c2st.org/wp-content/uploads/2010/01/Final-WIS-logo.jpg" alt="" width="300" height="300" /></a></p>
<p><strong><em>Gender Differences in the Workplace</em></strong><br />
by University of Chicago Harris School of Public Policy’s Angie Zeich  and Carol Hendrickson</p>
<p>The low number of women in science careers has historically been a problem that remains pervasive today.  Women still hold proportionally low academic science positions compared to men, and the shortage affects the private sector too, particularly engineering, computer science, and management.  Click <a href="http://www.nsf.gov/statistics/showpub.cfm?TopID=14&amp;SubID=45">here</a> to look at how differences in employment break down by field.  When looking at minority women statistics, the differences are even greater.  An <a href="http://web.mit.edu/fnl/women/women.html">MIT study</a> from the 1990s showed that women science faculty at the university level also faced lower salaries, space, awards, and resources.</p>
<p>To amend these disparities, some universities and businesses have adopted controversial affirmative action policies.  After the passing of the Civil Rights Act of 1964, a series of court cases determined that affirmative action is legal as a remedy for past discrimination so long that it is narrowly tailored.  Universities and firms cannot use quotas or “set asides” to recruit and hire women.  However, sex may be used as a “plus factor” in hiring.  In <em>Grutter v. Bollinger</em>, the Supreme Court expressed that in the future, there will be a legal sunset for affirmative action policies.  Once past discrimination has been remedied, affirmative action will no longer meet legal standards.  When this will occur remains questionable.  Not all gender differences in science are due to discrimination, however.  There is <a href="http://www.nature.com/nature/debates/women">no clear consensus</a> on why more women do not pursue science careers.</p>
<p>Women, not only in science, often point to how family-work conflicts impact their lives differently than men.  In 1978, Congress passed the Pregnancy Discrimination Act, which expanded Title VII of the Civil Rights Act of 1964 to include pregnant women.  This act made it illegal to fire or refuse to hire a woman for being pregnant.  The 1993 Family Medical Leave Act mandated firms to offer 12 weeks of job-protected pregnancy leave.  However, more often than not, this leave is unpaid.  Canada and Europe, on the other hand, have much longer job-protected leave with pay and benefits.  Maternity leave affectively makes women more expensive than men to employ.  Therefore, some countries, such as Sweden, have policies allowing men to take job-protected paternity leave as well.  Click <a href="http://www.economist.com/displaystory.cfm?story_id=15174418">here</a> to read about how other countries are managing the increase of women in the workplace.  Family commitments do not end after childbirth, and governments and firms can do much more to expand childcare services, such as subsidies to low income families.  The <a href="http://www.whitehouse.gov/issues/women">American Recovery and Reinvestment Act</a> has boosted child tax credits and increased funding for child care development.  Some schools have lengthened the school day to accommodate working mothers.  Chicago Public Schools has considered year round schooling and has begun a <a href="http://www.usnews.com/blogs/on-education/2009/04/28/chicago-tests-a-year-round-school-schedule.html">year round pilot program</a> for more than a quarter of its students.</p>
<p>Though parenting does affect a woman’s career, and much more can be done to equalize gender differences in the workplace, the question remains why women are employed at relatively lower rates in science compared to other fields.  Why do you think less women engage in science related employment?  Join our discussion at the Women in Science Symposium.</p>
]]></content:encoded>
			<wfw:commentRss>http://c2st.org/policy-perspectives/policy-perspectives-notes-on-women-in-science/feed</wfw:commentRss>
		<slash:comments>0</slash:comments>
		</item>
		<item>
		<title>Notes on Storing Alternative Energies</title>
		<link>http://c2st.org/policy-perspectives/policy-perspectives-notes-on-storing-alternative-energies</link>
		<comments>http://c2st.org/policy-perspectives/policy-perspectives-notes-on-storing-alternative-energies#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 02 Feb 2010 17:28:51 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Jillian</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Policy Perspectives]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Chicago renewable energy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Science Policy]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://c2st.org/?p=1833</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[A top policy priority of the United States is to encourage the development of alternative fuels. Alternative fuels reduce our dependence on]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a href="http://c2st.org/wp-content/uploads/2009/12/energy-storage-for-site.jpg" rel="shadowbox[sbpost-1833];player=img;"><img class="alignnone size-thumbnail wp-image-1357" title="energy storage for site" src="http://c2st.org/wp-content/uploads/2009/12/energy-storage-for-site.jpg" alt="" width="300" /></a><br />
by University of Chicago Harris School of Public Policy&#8217;s Angie Zeich and Carol Hendrickson</p>
<p>A top policy priority of the United   States is to encourage the development of alternative fuels. Alternative fuels reduce our dependence on foreign produced energy sources, improve the reliability of our energy production, and have environmental benefits such as reduced green house gas emissions. At the local, state, and federal levels, policies are being developed to fund research into alternative fuels and to expedite their implementation into our economy and every day use. Storing this energy will be an important part of its adaptation. The topic of C²ST’s program, storing alternative energies, was recently highlighted by a recent <a href="http://www.insidescience.org/policy/staying_power_senate_hearing_focuses_on_energy_storage" target="_blank">Senate hearing</a> on the importance of energy storage.</p>
<p>In order to make alternative energy viable, governments can fund and prioritize energy innovation and research. Alternative energy was a major component in the federal stimulus package of 2009. Click <a href="http://projects.nytimes.com/44th_president/stimulus/energy" target="_blank">here</a> too see stimulus funding for energy and note the $11 billion earmarked to modernize the electric grid as well as additional funds for battery development and renewable energy research. Also, investments in alternative energy research and development will increase should the United   States pass legislation that would create a price for carbon emissions. The <a href="http://www.pewclimate.org/docUploads/Waxman-Markey-short-summary-revised-June26.pdf" target="_blank">American Clean Energy and Security Act of 2009</a>, also known as the Waxman-Markley bill, passed in the House of Representatives in June 2009. The bill includes a cap-and-trade global warming reduction plan designed to reduce ﻿﻿economy-wide greenhouse gas emissions 17 percent by 2020. Click <a href="http://www.opencongress.org/bill/111-h2454/show" target="_blank">here</a> to view updates on the bill’s progress.</p>
<p>Although the fuel is free, solar energy is still rather expensive and its implementation does require federal subsidies. Check out <a href="http://video.wttw.com/video/1377889776/" target="_blank">this video</a> for an example of using policy to create green jobs and stimulate local tax revenue… and you’ll never guess where the nation’s largest urban solar power plant is! Renewable energy sources such as solar power are also an important component of the <a href="http://www.chicagoclimateaction.org/" target="_blank">Chicago Climate Action Plan</a>. The city hopes to procure enough renewable energy generation for Chicagoans to reduce electricity emissions by 20 percent, a reduction of 3.0 MMTCO<sub>2</sub>e.</p>
<p>The development of low or no emissions vehicles is an important component of reducing carbon emissions. These vehicles typically require electric power rather than energy from fossil fuels. Battery technology will make electric vehicles a feasible substitute for conventional gasoline powered vehicles. Research on battery improvements is happening all over the country, even in <a href="http://www.chicagotribune.com/news/chi-ap-tn-supercomputers-ca,0,2251490.story" target="_blank">our own back yard</a>. To sell cars, private companies are incentivized to develop the best batteries. The Department of Energy also <a href="http://www.energy.gov/news/8581.htm" target="_blank">recently loaned</a> Nissan Corporation $1.4 billion to produce advanced batteries and electric vehicles in the U.S. Battery storage of energy will also become an increasingly important part of our electrical grid system as we diversify energy sources. Check out <a href="http://www.insidescience.org/policy/battery_research_aims_to_store_renewable_energy" target="_blank">this project</a> on large scale energy storage funded by the Department of Energy.</p>
<p>Tax incentives and subsidies are another way to encourage the development and implementation of solar technologies. To encourage utilization of smaller-scale solar energy systems, <a href="http://www.commerce.state.il.us/NR/rdonlyres/F3D9AD37-D9F2-4542-88E4-CAAEDFEFAA8F/0/FY10RERPRebateGuidelinesFINAL.pdf" target="_blank">Illinois has a program</a> that offers incentives up to 30 percent of total project cost for residential and business applicants, and 50 percent for public sector and non-profit entities. Regulatory requirements are another policy tool used in the region to mandate the use of alternative energy. In 2007, <a href="http://www.elpc.org/documents/IllinoisPassesRPSEEPSAug-28-2007.pdf" target="_blank">Illinois</a> passed a statewide Renewable Energy Standard and an Energy Efficiency Portfolio Standard. Under the Standard, utilities must produce a certain percentage of their power from renewable sources, starting with 2 percent in 2008 and increasing to 10 percent by 2015 and to 25 percent by 2025. Solar will likely play an important role in allowing utilities to meet these regulatory obligations.</p>
<p>Non-government organizations play an important role in shaping alternative energy policy as well. The <a href="http://www.cnt.org/energy/isgi/about" target="_blank">Illinois Smart Grid Initiative</a> was a public-private working group formed in 2008 to engage Illinoisans in examining their electric grid. Check out <a href="http://www.cnt.org/repository/ISGI.FinalReport.pdf" target="_blank">their report</a> on the potential benefits of a modernized electric grid and a policy path for achieving those <a href="http://www.cnt.org/news/media/isgi-summary-of-benefits-and-issues-6-08.pdf" target="_blank">benefits</a> for consumers and the economy. Improvements in the power grid could accomplish long term energy policy goals, like being able to transfer wind power from the Great Plains to use in Chicago.</p>
<p>Technology firms are interested and invested in electricity grid improvements and are actively encouraging governments to enact policy to this end. Check out <a href="http://ge.ecomagination.com/smartgrid/#/landing_page" target="_blank">General Electric’s web page</a> promoting smart grid technology. Because a smart grid is essentially the application of information technology to the electricity business, Google is also involved in promoting state and federal smart grid policy. Google has already developed <a href="http://www.google.org/powermeter/index.html" target="_blank">software</a> to monitor power use. These companies and the people they employ can be important agents in policy change by using their resources to put pressure on governments and by using their expertise to advise policy outcomes.</p>
<p>Policy can also be used to expedite the implementation of these technologies so that their benefits can be realized as soon as possible. <a href="http://www.scienceprogress.org/2008/08/better-patents-through-crowdsourcing/" target="_blank">Patents</a> ensure that intellectual property is property is protected, which gives companies an incentive to invest in research and development.</p>
<p>We hope that you will keep these policy instruments in mind as you enjoy our program on Storing Alternative Energy.</p>
]]></content:encoded>
			<wfw:commentRss>http://c2st.org/policy-perspectives/policy-perspectives-notes-on-storing-alternative-energies/feed</wfw:commentRss>
		<slash:comments>2</slash:comments>
		</item>
	</channel>
</rss>

